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$BTC Cycle Structure: Previous Bitcoin cycles show a remarkably similar 3-wave downside structure. The declines were approximately −52%, −63% and −37%, which can broadly be interpreted as three ~50% waves, with the middle wave becoming significantly elongated.…
$BTC Cycle Structure: Previous Bitcoin cycles show a remarkably similar 3-wave downside structure. The declines were approximately −52%, −63% and −37%, which can broadly be interpreted as three ~50% waves, with the middle wave becoming significantly elongated. The current cycle appears to be developing in a similar way. The first −52% wave has already occurred. If the pattern continues, i expect the next move could become the middle, potentially elongated wave, with a projected decline of around −55%. A final −45% wave could then complete the structure. In other words: −52% → −55% → −45% ≈ 3 × −50% waves This would put the potential final downside structure around the $31K–$27K area. The key point is that the current structure is beginning to resemble the previous cycle’s sequence rather closely. https://www.tradingview.com/x/eH4tWS2t
$TUT update: This setup is more about information than a direct buy or sell signal. We already have the first A → B → C structure, followed by a deeper decline and accumulation phase. From there, price made a strong impulsive move higher, and I’m using the same structural idea to project what could come next. If this structure plays out as expected, the current move could develop into another A → B → C formation, with C potentially reaching the $1.08–$1.22 area. After that, I would expect a much deeper correction, potentially bringing price back toward the $0.013-0.01$ area over the longer term. The main purpose of this chart is to show the potential path and larger structure. So be careful while shorting here. If the projected upside move plays out first, aggressive shorts could get squeezed significantly before the larger correction begins. https://www.tradingview.com/x/mHKsYnMG
$TAKE Buy setup: The accumulation phase is still developing and has not yet been completed. So far, Structures 1 and 2 are complete, while Structure 3 is only around halfway through its development. What’s interesting is that each structure has followed a very similar price development, and the current structure is unfolding almost identically to the previous two. If this pattern continues, the current rally is likely not the main bullish breakout, but rather another relief rally. Just like the previous ones, it could eventually be followed by another decline into the highlighted spot accumulation range of $0.0160–0.0193. That final move into the accumulation zone could mark the completion of the entire accumulation phase, after which I expect the start of the next major bullish trend, with a long-term target in the $1.00–1.30 region. https://www.tradingview.com/x/2Cflccn9
$COTI update: This rally appears to be nothing more than a temporary relief rally. In my opinion, it will eventually end with a new lower low before the market begins the next major bullish impulse. My preferred sell zone remains $0.01900–$0.02170. From…
$COTI update: This rally appears to be nothing more than a temporary relief rally. In my opinion, it will eventually end with a new lower low before the market begins the next major bullish impulse. My preferred sell zone remains $0.01900–$0.02170. From there, I’ll be looking to position for a decline into the $0.0050–$0.0055 accumulation range. Once that target is reached, I’ll close my shorts and begin building long positions for what I expect to be the major upward rally, rather than this temporary recovery. https://www.tradingview.com/x/72HXqSmL
$COTI buy setup: The $0.0050–$0.0055 range is now my preferred buy zone for a potential relief rally. If price reacts from this area, I expect a recovery toward the $0.0580–$0.0610 sell range, where I’ll be watching for signs of exhaustion and bearish continuation.…
$COTI buy setup: The $0.0050–$0.0055 range is now my preferred buy zone for a potential relief rally. If price reacts from this area, I expect a recovery toward the $0.0580–$0.0610 sell range, where I’ll be watching for signs of exhaustion and bearish continuation. From there, the larger ABC structure could continue to unfold, eventually leading price into the final long-term accumulation range shown on the chart. https://www.tradingview.com/x/zhAp59x2
$ZEC | Price Action Since 2017 After reviewing ZEC’s entire price history, I noticed something very interesting. The current price action continues to align with my expectations for a major bearish move. What’s even more interesting is that nothing new is happening with ZEC. The market isn’t creating a new pattern—it’s simply repeating the same behavior it has followed throughout its history. Each major cycle has followed the same sequence: a parabolic rally, followed by a brutal 95–97% correction back toward long-term accumulation levels. If history continues to repeat itself, this cycle may be no different. The current structure still points toward another significant decline before a new long-term accumulation phase can begin. What gives me confidence is that this view isn’t based on a single indicator or pattern. I’ve analyzed ZEC using multiple independent approaches—including wave analysis, fractals, historical price action, and several proprietary methods. Despite being completely different techniques, they all point to the same conclusion. ZEC is simply going back home. My long-term downside targets remains unchanged: the $35–15 range. https://www.tradingview.com/x/kavEUzEF
$WIF buy setup WIF continues to respect its broader bearish structure, and so far I don’t see enough confirmation that the long-term downtrend has ended. The $0.1500-$0.1600 range remains an attractive mid-term entry zone. However, any recovery from this area is currently viewed as a corrective move rather than the beginning of a new bullish trend. The $0.4300-$0.5000 range is the main area I’m watching for potential profit-taking, as it could act as strong resistance before the next leg lower. https://www.tradingview.com/x/MiFBZNJ7
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$BTC Must read full text carefully. Bitcoin has historically been associated with a 4-year cycle, but many assume that always means approximately 1 year of correction followed by 3 years of bullish expansion. History suggests the structure isn't that simple. The 2014–2018 cycle broke that pattern. Instead of a typical 1-year correction, Bitcoin spent approximately 89 weeks (623 days, or 1 year and 8–9 months) building a much longer corrective structure. As a result, the bullish phase lasted just over 2 years before the next major top. Looking at the current market, I see similarities to that period. In my view, the current decline represents only the first phase of correction. If this fractal continues to develop, Bitcoin could still have two additional corrective phases ahead before establishing a long-term bottom. A longer bearish cycle wouldn't invalidate Bitcoin's long-term uptrend. On the contrary, it could become the foundation for the next major expansion, just as it did after the 2014–2018 structure. Markets don't have to repeat exactly, but they often rhyme. That's why I prefer following the structure rather than assuming every cycle must unfold the same way.
$ETH clean structure: As I mentioned in my previous posts, i’m expecting the current move to be a relief rally rather than the start of a new bullish trend. The structure is developing exactly within that scenario, with Phase 2 approaching the sell range before a potential bearish continuation. If this setup remains valid, the next leg lower could target the $1,415–$1,281 zone. https://www.tradingview.com/x/LYYzWcWX
$BTC LTF update:
$BTC Cycles: Throughout Bitcoin’s entire history, one thing has remained remarkably consistent: the market has respected the gradual decline in trend angles. Today, that angle has compressed to around 3.22°, which corresponds to roughly the $100,000–109,000 range. If this historical behavior continues to hold, it suggests that making new all-time highs may require a significant shift in the market’s structure and behavior. This is one of the reasons why I believe the current cycle is unlikely to resemble previous ones. Why should the market suddenly ignore a rule it has respected throughout its entire history? In my view, it’s more likely that we’ll see something unusual rather than a simple breakout above this long-respected angle. That could mean a prolonged period of sideways consolidation, a deep correction, or another form of structural reset. Another reason I’m leaning toward this view is that I believe Bitcoin is driven by a much larger cycle than the widely discussed 4-year cycle—one that the market has not fully revealed yet. In my opinion, the 4-year cycle is simply a smaller cycle operating within a much larger 10-15 year macro cycle. If that’s the case, then the market may finally be approaching the point where it proves the existence of this larger cycle. Rather than repeating the same pattern we’ve seen over the past decade, Bitcoin could enter a completely different phase—one that surprises the majority of market participants. https://www.tradingview.com/x/jJyqstiA
$BTC buy & Sell setups ( Mid-term) Current structure suggests a potential relief rally before the next leg down. As long as Bitcoin holds the $58.5K–$60K support zone, a short-term bounce toward the $65K–$66K resistance area remains possible. •Buy Zone:…
$BAS Buy Setup: Despite the fact that we previously accumulated BAS around $0.007, I wanted to share an updated outlook based on the current market structure. The previous accumulation phase has already delivered a strong move. Now I’m watching for a healthy correction into the $0.0190–0.0230 buy zone, where I expect the next high-probability accumulation opportunity. If price respects this support area, it could become the foundation for the next bullish leg, with the potential to push toward new all-time highs. https://www.tradingview.com/x/GLB2uLCX
$BTC buy & Sell setups ( Mid-term) Current structure suggests a potential relief rally before the next leg down. As long as Bitcoin holds the $58.5K–$60K support zone, a short-term bounce toward the $65K–$66K resistance area remains possible. •Buy Zone:…
$BTC buy & Sell setups ( Mid-term) Current structure suggests a potential relief rally before the next leg down. As long as Bitcoin holds the $58.5K–$60K support zone, a short-term bounce toward the $65K–$66K resistance area remains possible. •Buy Zone: $58,500 – $60,000 •Target: $65,000 – $66,000 Once price reaches the sell range, I expect the rally to exhaust and form an ABC corrective structure, opening the door for a deeper decline. •Sell Zone: $65,000 – $66,000 •Downside Target: ~$53,000 https://www.tradingview.com/x/7puAIkZa
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