Asymmetry

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Guru.Asymmetry RT @WatcherGuru: JUST IN: $11 trillion Vanguard to allow clients to buy crypto ETFs starting tomorrow. tweet

Guru.Asymmetry Always remain objective in the face of emotion tweet

Guru.Asymmetry Memecoins leading the charge on this reversion rally More work to be done - need the pullback to stick OPPORTUNITY At the bare minimum we SHOULD have a brutal short squeeze reversion rally - emotions aside, this is how markets work, nothing moves in a straight line forever. Alot of work is needed to repair the damage done in Q4 to the crypto market but I still believe risk has better days ahead - Guru.Asymmetry tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @tradfi: *NVIDIA 3Q REV. $57.01B, EST. $55.19B *NVIDIA SEES 4Q REV. $63.70B TO $66.30B, EST. $61.98B $NVDA tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @jimcramer: Don't take the first bite. Lot of margin use so we need a further washout. tweet

Guru.Asymmetry Brutal - no point panic selling here though, even if macro top is in, expect a relief rally soon as sentiment is in the gutter and funding flipping negative tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @WatcherGuru: JUST IN: 🇨🇿 Czech Central Bank buys $1 million worth of Bitcoin & crypto. tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @TreeNewsFeed: *GRAYSCALE INVESTMENTS INC . FILES FOR IPO: BBG tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @FirstSquawk: TRUMP PROPOSES $1,000–$2,000 TARIFF “DIVIDEND” FOR AMERICANS •HE SAID AMERICANS COULD RECEIVE CHECKS WORTH $1,000 TO $2,000, FUNDED BY TARIFF REVENUES. tweet

Guru.Asymmetry RT @TreeNewsFeed: FED LOWERS RATES BY 25BPS TO 3.75-4% tweet

Guru.Asymmetry Dare to dream tweet

Guru.Asymmetry Majors likely set their low at 104k. Base case: a grind into month-end, then acceleration into November. As the move matures, $ETH + $SOL + $BNB should outpace $BTC The rotation map is lining up: strength bled from gold → equities, and the next spillover is crypto. Gold doesn't = risk-off in this regime. With a hot economy, record-high equities driven by real revenue + AI capex, QT set to end, and rates drifting lower, conditions are pro-risk. The Fed’s dual mandate is being met; inflation and unemployment are contained. If QT is paused, balance sheets can finally expand for the first time since 2021. (And no - this isn’t a QE call.) Liquidity isn’t M2 cosplay; track balance sheets. Gold is a debasement hedge and a $~30T liquidity magnet. It’s been crowding out risk, just like BTC does to alts in a vertical. As that bid cools, capital naturally migrates down the risk curve - equities first (already happening), then crypto. I don’t think the equity top is in. Froth? Sure. But until the tape says otherwise, we ride. The clean beta, as ever, arrives when small caps (IWM) finally break out. Forget four-year crypto “cycles” - this is just global liquidity and the business cycle conveniently overlapping with halvings. Russell 2000 has been range-bound for years; tight credit + building liquidity = a coiled spring. October 10th’s liquidity sweep only reinforced the bull case: they rinsed the market and left it primed to trend while many sit sidelined. I’m positioned for it—I don’t need perfection on entries when the stars align. My size remains in $PEPE (high beta to $ETH), with downstream $ANDY and $WOLF, and heavy $BONK as a levered proxy to $SOL. This setup rhymes with the Sept 9, 2024 low: late-stage multi-quarter chop, post-deleveraging, extreme fear, BTC skew at multi-year highs, spot hovering near the 1-yr mean, Friday print then a weekend grind higher; bank wobble headlines into the low; metals ready to pause; Fed easing into equity ATHs; seasonality turning favorable; HY spreads at 90-day net widening. Add today’s bonuses: small caps on the verge of price discovery, an imminent QT pause, and underperforming TradFi PMs who’ll be forced to chase into year-end. Shorts are playing with fire. Charts attached: • BTC vs ISM: prior ISM inflections have mapped major BTC cycles. • ISM vs “BTC-implied” ISM: crypto is already pricing an upturn. • ISM vs a 6-month-lead rates model: reacceleration signal flashing. • ISM vs Russell 2000 YoY: small-cap beta historically follows the ISM turn. Trade what’s in front of you. My bias is clear; the flow of liquidity looks even clearer. The patient WILL be rewarded in thus otherwise frustrating cycle thus far. Guru. tweet