Data's Inner Circle 👑 (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)
Статистикаhttps://x.com/TheCryptoData The Inner Circle is where I share my thought process on the overall market, including technical analysis, altcoins, and narrative rotations 💎 Nothing shared is financial/investment advice and should not be taken as such.
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📊 Market Update | August 17th Fear and Greed fell to 30 from 35, still "Fear", even as the crypto market rose and broke the range it held since Tuesday. The US and Iran ceasefire expires today with Strait of Hormuz talks stalled, a route carrying a fifth of the world's oil. The stock market closed flat. 📰 Key News Events • A bug in Coldcard's wallet firmware has drained about $100 million. Move to fresh keys if you hold an older unit. • The US Treasury proposed its GENIUS Act rules, deciding who may issue a dollar stablecoin in the US. • Bitmine bought 9,926 more ETH and now holds 4.8% of all Ethereum, its steadiest buyer. • Goldman Sachs called a September Fed rate increase "very unlikely", so borrowing costs should hold. ✍️ Summary I am leaning bullish. I said yesterday I would stay neutral until a range broke. It broke higher today with Bitcoin, Ethereum and Solana taking part. Bid major support on the daily and weekly charts while your indicators agree.
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📊 Market Update | August 16th Fear and Greed is 35 for a second day, still "Fear". The crypto market went nowhere all weekend. The S&P 500 hit a record Friday and softer inflation cut September Fed hike odds to 35% from 55%, but crypto followed none of it. 📰 Key News Events • SafePal was breached, exposing names and addresses of nearly 40,000 customers. No keys were taken, but that data feeds phishing. • Hackers are taking over Macs through an Apple screen sharing flaw to mine crypto, patched August 6th. • Scammers in Europe are posing as regulators and exchanges to catch users moving accounts under new EU rules. • Banks are gaining ground with lawmakers on blocking interest on stablecoins, which decides how much cash sits in crypto. ✍️ Summary I am staying neutral. Two majors are holding up and one keeps failing in the same spot, so there is no clean call until a range breaks. Bid major support on the daily and weekly charts, only when your indicators agree.
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📊 Market Update | August 15th Fear and Greed rose to 35 from 30, still "Fear". The crypto market went sideways all week, the majors stuck inside the prior day's range. July retail sales fell 0.6% when a rise was expected, and the stock market closed lower Friday after Wednesday's record. 📰 Key News Events • Trump is expected at a White House meeting with crypto CEOs and the CFTC chair Wednesday the 19th. • The OCC conditionally approved Trump-backed World Liberty as a national trust bank, clearing a path to issue its USD1 stablecoin. • Paul Tudor Jones' firm raised its BlackRock bitcoin ETF stake 19% last quarter, after selling all of 2025. • Cboe asked the SEC to approve the first US 3x bitcoin and ether ETFs. ✍️ Summary I am staying neutral. Two majors look fine and one keeps failing at the same level, so there is no clean call until one breaks. Ethereum looks the steadiest. Bid major support on the daily and weekly charts, only when your indicators agree.
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📊 Market Update | August 14th Fear and Greed is unchanged at 30, still "Fear". The stock market set a record high yesterday and the crypto market did not follow. The SEC then cancelled its crypto rulebook meeting with no new date and delayed its tokenization exemption, so US rules are not close. 📰 Key News Events • MSCI may drop Strategy and Metaplanet from its stock indexes. JPMorgan says index funds would then sell $2.8 billion. • Hyperscale Data sold 685 bitcoin for $43 million, the second treasury company selling this week. • Tether says KPMG finished its first full audit, reserves $6.814 billion above what it owes. • Trezor warned 14,000 customers after a hack at its shipping partner. Addresses leaked, no wallet keys. ✍️ Summary I am leaning neutral today. Two majors lean slightly my way and one leans against, so there is no clean call. Ethereum is the steadiest of them. Bid major support on the daily and weekly charts, only when your indicators agree.
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📊 Market Update | August 13th Fear and Greed rose to 30 from 26, still "Fear". Wholesale inflation, what companies pay, was flat in July and 4.7% for the year against 4.9% expected, so September Fed hike odds fell to 34%. Stocks hit a record, the crypto market did not move. 📰 Key News Events • Metaplanet denied selling $320 million of BTC. It and Strategy carry nearly $10 billion in paper losses. • Ethereum staking hit a record 34% of supply. A proposal would zero new issuance at 50% staked, cutting yields. • Bullish lost $280 million last quarter, Swissquote cut guidance. Crypto earnings are weak. • Kalshi is raising $750 million at a $40 billion valuation. Speculation is going to prediction markets, not coins. ✍️ Summary Two soft inflation prints and the crypto market ignored both, so buyers are missing rather than scared. Two of three majors lean the wrong way, Ethereum the exception. Bid major support on the daily and weekly charts when indicators line up.