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Статистика• Trading & Investing in the Stock Market Analysis & Research • All trades, data research, and analysis shared on this channel are for educational purposes only. • This channel/entity is not SEBI registered #Banknifty #Nifty50
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Jane Street ne July me approximately $15 BILLION ka loss lenders ko disclose kiya hai / ye company ka pichle ek decade me pehla monthly loss hai. Ye disclosure us $14.6 billion private debt deal ka part tha, jisme firm apne $11 BILLION public debt ko private investors / including Pimco, Capital Group, aur Fidelity ke paas shift kar rahi hai, Deal JPMorgan ne lead ki. Loss ka reason ? AI hedge fund "Situational Awareness" (jo ex-OpenAI employee ne run kiya) ka collapse fund ke assets $45 billion se $10 billion par aa gaye ek mahine me. Jane Street ne us fund me invest kiya tha aur AI stocks par wrong-way bets lagayi thi. Fund ko apni public equity book Citadel ko block sale karni padi. SEBI ne Jane Street par Bank Nifty expiry-day trades manipulate karne ka aarop lagaya allegedly Nifty aur Bank Nifty options me expiry days par large positions build karna, phir underlying me itna trade karna ke closing price materially move ho jaye. Firm ne allegations deny ki aur penalty deposit karke Indian market me wapas aa gayi, SEBI ab 3 Year ke derivative trades ki investigation kar raha hai ye kisi global trading firm ke khilaf sabse badi investigation hai Trading me koi invincible nahi hota. 👀 India me market ko "manage" karne ki baat ho rahi thi... July me khud ka P&L manage nahi hua ? 😂 Jane Street ne FY 2025 me $40B+ trading revenue banaya tha but ek mahine me $15B loss No one is invincible. Not even the quant kings, Market sirf risk puchhta hai, reputation nahi ? That's the market for you.
➡️ Stock To Watchlist / Keep In Eye. Apollo hospital, Tata Motors, Astral, KRN Heat Exchange, Gujarat Pipavav Port, Bliss GVS, Petronet LNG, HAL, JK Cement, Jio Financial, GE Power, Sun Tv, Tata Motors CV
Jay Shree RadheShyam 🙏
Hi Traders 👋 Crude Oil Inventory + US Core CPI | Key Events to Track 📊 🗓️Join us LIVE: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgmTIZvTpAs
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➡️ Nifty50 Trading Analysis & Set-up Nifty 50 abhi 24,471 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai. Kal 112 points gira tha aur 24,429 tak neeche gaya tha, lekin wahan se thoda rebound kiya. GIFT Nifty 24,550 ke around hai, jo flat-to-mildly positive opening dikhata hai. 👉 Support Levels Immediate Support :- 24,429 Kal ka intraday low, agar break hua toh bearish signal Strong Support :- 24,400 200 EMA - abhi tak defend kar raha hai Next Support :- 24,350-24,380 20-day DEMA aur 38.2% Fibonacci retracement Major Support :- 24,287 20-DMA - yeh hai sabse important level Deeper Support :- 24,200-24,300 50 aur 100-day EMA ka convergence zone 👉 Resistance Levels Immediate Resistance :- 24,500 Psychological level - kal yahan se neeche aaya Key Resistance :- 24,500-24,600 Strong resistance zone Breakout Confirmation :- 24,576 Kal ka high - agar yeh cross kiya toh uptrend resume Next Target :- 24,700-24,800 Agar 24,600 paar kiya toh yeh target 👉 Technical 8-day EMA : 24,506 - Price iske niche hai, isko wapas upar jaana hoga 20-DMA : 24,287 - Sabse important level - agar yeh break hua toh structure khatre mein RSI(14) : 60 se neeche aa gaya (~54), bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai MACD : Histogram kaafi shrink ho gaya, recent rally ki taqat kam ho rahi hai 👉 Nifty ne 6 sessions mein 1,168 points (4.95%) ka rally kiya tha, uske baad ab consolidation ho raha hai. Kal bearish candle bani aur 8-day EMA se neeche close hui. Price structure flag formation jaisa lag raha hai. Agar 24,429 break hota hai toh short-term top confirm ho sakta hai 👉 Trading Setup • 24,450-24,500 (dip me kharidna) Stop Loss 24,400 (intraday) Target 24,576 → 24,600 → 24,700 Confirmation 8-day EMA (24,506) ke upar close kare aur 24,576 break kare • 24,429 ke niche breakdown ke baad short Stop Loss 24,500 Target 24,350 → 24,320 → 24,287 (20-DMA) → 24,200 Confirmation Agar closing 24,429 se niche aati hai toh confirmation
➡️ Stock To Watchlist / Keep In Eye. MCX, Zydus, JSW Dulux, TD Power, Flair Writing, Polyplex, Borana Weaves, Innova Captab, Landmark Car, Man Ind
Jay Shree RadheShyam 🙏❤️
➡️ Nifty50 Trading Analysis & Set-up CURRENT MARKET PRICE (CMP) Nifty 50 abhi 24,615.55 hai, +31.75 pts (+0.13%) 9:18 AM pe index 24,510.25 tha, ab thoda recover ho gaya Monday close: 24,583.80 👉 KEY LEVELS (Technical) Resistance 24,600 - Immediate resistance 24,700-24,800 - Crucial resistance zone 24,775 - Profit-booking zone Support 24,500-24,525 - Immediate support 24,400 - Next downside target agar 24,500 break hua 24,200-24,265 - Strong buy area / reversal zone 👉 TECHNICAL INDICATORS MACD : Bullish hai (144.33 vs 142.50) lekin momentum flatten ho raha hai RSI(14) : 60.97 pe hai, overbought se thoda cool down hua - buyers ki conviction kam ho rahi hai 20-SMA : 24,668 - price iske neeche hai India VIX : Stabilized hai 👉 KEY CATALYSTS TODAY Crude oil price movement – agar $87 se upar jaata hai to Nifty pe pressure aayega. US-Iran deal ki koi update – agar positive news aati hai to crude dip kar sakta hai, jo bullish hai. Nifty rejig: Wipro ki jagah BSE aayega 30 Sept se – iska kuch stocks par effect ho sakta hai. Q1 results ka flow – kuch midcap aur largecap companies ke numbers aane wale hain. FPI inflows August mein abhi tak ~$1.5B hai – ye market ko support de raha hai 👉 TRADING SETUPS 🟢 BUY (Bullish setup): Agar price 24,400–24,500 ke zone me aata hai, toh wahan se long le sakte ho. Stop loss : 24,250 (strict). Targets : 24,550 → 24,575 → 24,625 → 24,675 → 24,700 → 24,765. Alternative : Agar 24,700 clear break hota hai with volume, toh usko follow kar ke long entry le sakte ho with SL 24,600. 🔴 SELL (Bearish setup): Agar price 24,625–24,765 ke zone mein aata hai aur wahan se reject hota hai, toh short entry le sakte ho. Stop loss : 24,875 (closing basis). Targets neeche : 24,575 → 24,525 → 24,500 → 24,425 → 24,385 → 24,365. Alternative : Agar 24,500 break hota hai, toh usko follow kar ke short kar sakte ho with SL 24,580
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➡️ RBI LIQUIDITY 💰 RBI ne ₹1 Lakh Crore ka VRRR Auction kiya hai. ⏳ Tenure: Sirf 1 din (Overnight). 📆 10 Aug ko liquidity absorb hogi. 📆 11 Aug ko paisa wapas banking system me aa jayega 👉 Asar kya hoga ? Short-term liquidity tight hogi, to Money Market rates (Call Money, WACR) par thoda pressure aa sakta hai. Bond yields me 1-2 bps ki halki si spike aa sakti hai, but zyada tikegi nahi (kyunki kal paisa wapas aa raha hai). Forex me bhi impact ho sakta hai, jo rupee ko support karega 👉 Sabse zaroori baat ✅ Ye temporary tightening hai, permanent nahi. ✅ RBI ne CRR nahi badhaya, bas 1 din ka VRRR kiya - matlab ye "Fine-Tuning" hai. ✅ Agar RBI sach me strict (hawkish) hota, toh 14-day ya 28-day ka auction karta. 1 din ka matlab - "Abhi zyada cash hai, kal theek kar denge". Investors / Traders ke liye: Debt fund wale: Tension nahi lene ka, NAV par koi bada asar nahi. Traders: 10 Aug subah 10:30-11:30 ke aas-paas banking stocks aur bond futures me volatility dekhne ko mil sakti hai - intraday ka mauka ho sakta hai. Banks: Unko faida hoga, padi cash par RBI se accha rate kama lenge 👉 Aage kya ? August ke end me govt. borrowing (bond supply) badhegi, tab shayad RBI ko liquidity inject (VRR) karna pade.
Jay Shree RadheShyam 🙏
➡️Nifty50 Trading Setup and Analysis Abhi Nifty 24,580–24,600 ke around hai yani immediate resistance zone (24,600–24,700) ke bilkul lower end par trade kar raha hai. 👉 Support 24,500 : Immediate support - sab se important 24,450–24,350 : Strong support zone - agar 24,500 break hota hai 24,000 : Psychological support - strong cushion 👉 Resistance 24,600–24,700 : Immediate resistance zone abhi market yahi test kar rahi hai 24,650–24,750 : Strong resistance band 24,800–24,850 : Crucial hurdle - breakout ke liye ye clear hona chahiye 👉 Positive Factors Nifty ne 24,500 support ko successfully defend kiya hai Asian markets aaj positive hain (0.5-2% up) FPIs ne August mein ab tak ₹12,920 crore ki buying ki hai Market breadth almost even hai - 1,514 declining vs 1,504 advancing 👉 Negative Factors / Risks Crude oil $85 ke around - bada risk factor hai Strait of Hormuz deal - abhi tak koi progress nahi US inflation data aane wali hai - Fed policy ke liye important Dollar index rebound kar raha hai - emerging markets ke liye negative 👉 Trading Setup 1 :- Range-Bound Trading (Abhi ke liye sabse best) Jab tak 24,800 break nahi hota, tab tak market 24,500–24,700 ke range me hi rahegi. Buy kaise kare : 24,500–24,530 ke aas-paas dip me kharide Stop-loss 24,400 ke niche rakhe. Target 24,650–24,700 rakhe. Sell kaise karein: 24,650–24,700 ke aas-paas rally mein bechein. Stop-loss 24,780 ke upar rakhein. Target 24,530–24,500 rakhein. Risk : Reward roughly 1:1.5 ka ban raha hai 2 :- Market ka overall structure bullish hai, isliye dip me kharidna better hai. Entry: 24,400–24,450 ke aas-paas (agar market neeche jaati hai toh) Stop-loss: 24,000 (psychological level ke nihe) Target : 24,700, 24,800 Risk : Reward 1:1.5 se 1:2 tak banta hai 3 :- Condition : Nifty 24,800 ke upar sustain kare (fake breakout nahi hona chahiye) Entry : 24,800 ke upar confirmation ke baad Stop-loss: 24,650 (ab resistance support ban jayega) Target: 25,000–25,200 Agar 24,800–24,850 ka band clear hota hai toh 3-month ki trading range se breakout confirm hoga aur upar ka rasta khulega. 👉 Abhi 24,580–24,600, yani immediate resistance zone (24,600–24,700) ke bilkul paas. Core range : 24,500–24,700 ke bich trade hone ki ummid hai. Stop-loss: Har trade me strict SL lagaye / crude oil ka risk bahut high hai. Biggest risk : Crude oil $85 ke upar jaata hai toh market niche ja sakti hai, isliye oil ki news pe nazar rakhe.
➡️ Stock To Watchlist / Keep In Eye. Titan, Oil Ind, NMDC, NBCC, Ramco, Apollo Micro, HPCL, SCI, Gland Pharma, Azad Eng, Rites, Jamna Auto, Vedanta Alumi..
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📈 India’s Trading Ecosystem is Evolving – Dhan is Leading the Way! Whether you are a: - Retail Investor (Long-term) - Active Intraday/Scalp Trader - Options & Commodity Trader - MTF User with small capital Dhan offers one of the most advanced yet cost-effective platforms. 💸 Brokerage: - F&O / Commodity: ₹20/order - Delivery, ETF, SIP: ₹0 🛠️ Features: - In-chart trading - Advanced option chain with Greeks - Flash trade & bulk order - Reverse chart strategy - 4X margin on 1700+ stocks - MTF interest as low as 12.49% 🔐 Fully SEBI registered & CDSL approved. 👉 Start your journey with zero AMC (lifetime): https://invite.dhan.co/?join=SAYA57 Let’s trade smarter, not harder! 🚀
➡️ Nifty50 Trading Set-up & Analysis 👉 Resistance Levels : R1: 24,774 (Immediate - Recent Swing High) R2: 25,000 (Psychological - Major Round Number) R3: 25,500 (Previous Supply Zone) ATH : 26,373 👉 Support Levels : S1: 24,483 (EMA 9 - Immediate) S2: 24,250 (SMA 20 - Strong) S3: 23,984 (SMA 50 - Major) S4 : 24,000 (Psychological - Critical) 👉 TECHNICAL RSI (14) 60.67 Neutral (Bullish bias) MACD 166.38 Bullish Crossover ✅ MACD Histogram +48.55 Positive Momentum ✅ SMA 20 24,249 Price Above ✅ SMA 50 23,984 Price Above ✅ EMA 9 24,482 Price Above ✅ EMA 21 24,305 Price Above ✅ BB Position 81.2% Near Upper Band 👉 😇😇 Trend follow karo - Primary bias LONG hai Dip pe entry lo 24,550-24,600 zone me SL 24,300 pe rakho - widen mat karo T1 (24,774) pe partial profit book karo T1 hit hone pe SL cost pe trail karo Fresh shorts avoid karo 24,250 ke neeche break hone pe bias reassess karo
➡️ Nifty50 Trading Analysis & SetUp GIFT Nifty aaj subah 24,650 se 24,675 ke beech mein chal raha hai, jo kal ke close se kareeb 50 points upar hai. Matlab aaj Flat se thoda Positive opening ho sakti hai. Moving Averages : Nifty saari important MAs (20, 50, 200 DMA) ke upar baitha hai. Trend clear uptrend me hai. RSI : 61.96 hai, jo ki Bullish Zone me hai. Iska matlab overbought nahi hai, abhi aur upar jaane ki jagah hai. India VIX (Volatility) : 1.07% gira kar 12.06 par aa gaya. Volatility bahut kam hai, jo ki traders ke liye acha signal hai. Put-Call Ratio (PCR): 1.15 hai. Iska matlab Put options zyada likhe gaye hain, jo generally support zone ko strong banata hai. 👉 Resistance 24,700 – 24,800 Sab se strong barrier yahi hai. Kal ka high 24,774 tha. Agar 24,800 tod deta hai toh maza aayega Agar 24,800 ke upar consolidate karta hai toh 25K ki taraf rasta khul jayega. 👉 Support 24,500 – 24,600 Kal isi zone me kharidar aaye the, Agar yahan se bounces leta hai toh thik hai. 24,400 – 24,450 Agar yeh level niche toot gaya, toh thodi weakness aa sakti hai. 👉 Bank Nifty kal 57,740 par band hua (167 points niche). Iska apna alag game hai: Bank Nifty Resistance : 58,000 – 58,250 (Inke upar jaana hi Nifty ko 25K tak le jayega). Bank Nifty Support : 57,300 – 57,500 (Yahan 20-DMA hai, agar yeh toota toh Nifty bhi pressure me aa sakta hai). 👉 Aaj ki Trading Strategy (Setup) Overall sentiment "Buy on Dips" (Girne par Khareedna) ka hai. Jab tak Nifty 24,400-24,500 ke upar hai, bechne ki jagah khareedna better rahega. • Aggressive Traders ke liye : Entry : 24,600 – 24,700 ke bich me Nifty Futures/Options kharide. Stop Loss : 24,480 (strongly follow kare). Target : 25,100 tak ka rakhe. • Safe Traders ke liye: Breakout : Intezar kare jab tak Nifty 24,800 ko tod kar upar close na kare. Upar breakout ke baad hi trade kare. Dip : Agar market niche girta hai toh 24,350 – 24,450 ke zone me aane par kharidari kare, kyunki yahan pe bahut strong support hai 👉 Global Factors : Crude oil $75 ke aas-paas hai aur US-Iran news hai, isliye crude oil ki wajah se market mein thodi tezi mandi ho sakti hai.
➡️ Stock To Watchlist / Keep In Eye. Aurobindo Pharma, PB Fin, Navin Fluorine, Aris Infra, Mayur Uni, Pearl Global, Deccan Gold, Gland Pharma, Concor, Brigade Hotel, SIS..