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Essentially, we were right in considering this second scenario, a V-shaped reversal occurred. Let me remind you that in the first scenario, we were anticipating a double bottom and the same recovery, but that's not important now. If we assume we've already seen the top, since right now we're seeing market weakness and a huge geopolitical predisposition to a reversal, then we could predict, based on history, that we'll fall to the previous high. In the past, this preceded the Asian Financial Crisis, now it could be the Middle East Financial Crisis. If this happens, I'll try to provide an update and analyze further events. Thank you for your attention. 🫡
Now let’s dive into that second scenario . The current NASDAQ cycle can also be compared to previous ones — although for now, we haven’t seen the double bottom I described in the first scenario (the 1998 case). Right now, price has reached a key resistance zone — an area of supply. If things develop in line with past cycles — though I’m not sure it will play out exactly this way — it could become difficult to wait for a real breakdown and a second bottom. Essentially, this could turn into a V-shaped recovery , or we might still see the double bottom pattern unfold — just like in 1998.
Maltsev Trade pinned «The Rise of the Third Rome, Persia and Greater Israel. Over the next 5 years we will witness historical events that at first glance seem unbelievable: 1. The American and Chinese empires will collapse (economically, politically, and they will no longer be…»
The Rise of the Third Rome, Persia and Greater Israel. Over the next 5 years we will witness historical events that at first glance seem unbelievable: 1. The American and Chinese empires will collapse (economically, politically, and they will no longer be as militarily strong as they are now). If the United States sends ground troops into Iran, they will need a national draft, which will lead to civil war. Protests against conscription will begin, after which the US will deploy the National Guard against its own civilian population. US Central Command, the CIA, and most major technology-AI companies (OpenAI, Nvidia, Microsoft, and others) will relocate to Israel. Even if the United States does not send ground troops into Iran, this will still happen anyway — because they will lose to Iran for economic reasons, will be forced to withdraw from the Middle East entirely, and remove all their military bases. 2. The GCC countries will collapse — they will be forced to pay a huge tax to Iran for the use of the Strait of Hormuz. Because of this, they will no longer be able to continue investing in US AI data processing centers and maintain the petrodollar system (on which their economy currently rests). All that money will go toward the reconstruction of Iran and its further industrialization. The Al-Aqsa Mosque will be destroyed so that a Jewish Third Temple can be built in its place (a false-flag attack carried out by Israel to blame Iran). Turkey and Saudi Arabia will enter this war and suffer enormous losses. 3. The Judaic world will accelerate the project of creating “Greater Israel”. They will intensify antisemitism worldwide through propaganda in order to motivate the diaspora and all Jews to return to Israel. In the end, we will see a battle: Israel vs Russia + Persia. 4. Russia will win the war in Ukraine and will help the Greeks take back Constantinople/Istanbul, thereby uniting Orthodox Christians around the world. All of this will happen simultaneously alongside the destruction of the European Union and NATO.
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🛢 #oil #geopolitics #Iran JPMorgan: An attack on Iran could send oil prices soaring to $120 — pushing U.S. CPI inflation back to 5%. I know we get news like this every month or two — but I still wouldn’t ignore this scenario. Be prepared. Personally, I’m convinced we’ll see oil at $140 per barrel by 2030 — possibly even after a retracement to the $50 zone , though it might not even happen. #inflation #USA
Bro predicted his own fate and don't tell me that Israel is not a proxy of the USA...
The time for restraint is over.
⚠️🌎 #economy #world The global uncertainty index in the global economy is at a record high
🌕🇨🇳 #gold #China #cot The World Gold Council (WGC): In January, the inflow of funds into gold ETFs in the Chinese market amounted to 44 billion yuan, which is a record figure for the beginning of the year.
🇨🇳 #silver #China Industrial demand for silver in China remains huge, and stocks are dwindling. The Shanghai Exchange has a record-breaking backwardation in futures. There is still a huge premium to international market prices on the spot.
🇨🇳🇺🇸 #China #USA #Bonds #COT #DeDollarization China continues to actively reduce its holdings of U.S. Treasury securities
🌕🇨🇳 #Gold #COT #China China has been purchasing gold for 15 consecutive months, despite elevated prices.
🌕 #Gold #Metals #Macro Crescat experts report that, for the first time in recorded history, global data shows zero major gold discoveries for two consecutive years (2023–2024)—a phenomenon never seen before. And this isn’t unique to gold: significant discoveries of most other metals have dwindled to single-digit figures, and there are no major development-stage projects capable of meaningfully shifting the global supply curve. Analysts view these trends as a strong indicator that global metals markets are still in the early phase of a massive bull supercycle.
🇺🇸 In December, the number of vacancies in the United States was 386,000 less, only 6.5 million — the minimum since September 2020. Vacancies have decreased by 907,000 in the last 2 months, the largest two—month drop since March 2023. Since its peak in March 2022, the number of available vacancies has fallen by 5.6 million. Now this figure is lower than before the pandemic (2018-2019), when there were about 7 million vacancies. As a result, the ratio of vacancies to the number of unemployed dropped to 0.87, the lowest since February 2021, and well below the pre—crisis high of 1.24. This is also below the level recorded during the 2001 recession...
China has a large passage for the production of humanoid robots...
Brainwashed 2.0
Brainwashed...
🌎 #Commodities #Forecast #Macro Crescat experts believe the commodity bull cycle is in full swing—and there’s still significant room for further upside.
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