Oceania Elects Official

Cook Islands, 23/24 electorates declared: National parliament election, seats CIP (Centre-right): 12 (=) CIUP (Centre): 4 (+1) Inds. (*): 4 (+1) IND-E(*): 2 (new) INDC (*): 1 (new) DEMO (Centre-left): 0 (-5) +/- vs. Last election result ➤ oceaniaelects.com/cook-islands

Cook Islands, 23/24 electorates declared: National parliament election CIP (Centre-right): 44.4% (+0.3) CIUP (Centre): 32.3% (+13.5) DEMO (Centre-left): 12.6% (-14.3) Inds. (*): 5.1% (-2.2) INDC (*): 2.1% (+2.1) IND-E (*): 1.9% (+1.9) PROG (Centre-right): 1.5% (+1.3) +/- vs. Last election result ➤ oceaniaelects.com/cook-islands

Cook Islands: national parliament election today: ➤ Eligible voters: ~11,000 ➤ Polling stations open: 9am - 6pm local time ➤ Incumbent government: CIP (Centre-right) + Inds. (*) ➤ Seats: 24 ➤ Voting system: FPTP ➤https://oceaniaelects.com/cook-islands/ #CookIslands

New Zealand, Verian poll: Preferred prime minister Luxon (National-Centre-right): 17% (-1) Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 15% (-1) Peters (NZ-First-*): 7% (-3) Swarbrick (Green-Green): 6% Seymour (ACT-Libertarian): 5% (+1) Stanford (National-Centre-right): 2% (+1) McAnulty (Labour-Centre-left): 2% (+1) +/- vs. 13-17 June 2026 Fieldwork: 08-11 August 2026 Sample size: 847 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Verian poll: Seat projection Labour (Centre-left): 38 (-3) National (Centre-right): 36 (-1) Green (Green): 15 (-2) ACT (Libertarian): 11 (+3) NZ First (*): 10 (-5) Opportunity (Centre): 9 (+9) Māori (Indigenous): 6 +/- vs. 13-17 June 2026 Fieldwork: 08-11 August 2026 Sample size: 847 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Verian poll: Labour (Centre-left): 30% (-2) National (Centre-right): 29% Green (Green): 12% (-1) ACT (Libertarian): 9% (+3) NZ First (*): 8% (-3) Opportunity (Centre): 8% (+3) Māori (Indigenous): 1% (-1) +/- vs. 13-17 June 2026 Fieldwork: 08-11 August 2026 Sample size: 847 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Preferred prime minister Luxon (National-Centre-right): 23% (+4) Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 20% (+1) Peters (NZ-First-*): 11% (-1) Swarbrick (Green-Green): 5% Seymour (ACT-Libertarian): 4% (-1) +/- vs. 01-05 July 2026 Fieldwork: 01-04 August 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Seat projection National (Centre-right): 40 (+1) Labour (Centre-left): 36 (-5) Green (Green): 13 NZ First (*): 12 (-2) ACT (Libertarian): 9 Opportunity (Centre): 8 (+8) Māori (Indigenous): 2 (-2) +/- vs. 01-05 July 2026 Fieldwork: 01-04 August 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: National (Centre-right): 31% Labour (Centre-left): 28% (-4) Green (Green): 10% NZ First (*): 9% (-2) ACT (Libertarian): 7% Opportunity (Centre): 6% (+3) Māori (Indigenous): 2% (-1) WRP (*): 1% (+1) CPNZ (Conservative): 0% Vision NZ (Right): 0% Outdoors (Green): 0% (-1) +/- vs. 01-05 July 2026 Fieldwork: 01-04 August 2026 Sample size: 1,000 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Victoria, Two-Party Preferred L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 51% (+2) ALP (Centre-left): 49% (-2) +/- vs. 22-24 April 2026 Fieldwork: 05-07 August 2026 Sample size: 2,084 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Victoria regional election ALP (Centre-left): 26% (+0.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 26% (+2) ONP (Right): 23.5% (-1) GRN (Green): 12.5% (-1) +/- vs. 22-24 April 2026 Fieldwork: 05-07 August 2026 Sample size: 2,084 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-1) ONP (Right): 47% (+1) +/- vs. 27 July - 02 August 2026 Fieldwork: 03-09 August 2026 Sample size: 1,647 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 53% (+1) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (-1) +/- vs. 27 July - 02 August 2026 Fieldwork: 03-09 August 2026 Sample size: 1,647 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ONP (Right): 26% (+2) ALP (Centre-left): 25.5% (-2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 22% (-1.5) GRN (Green): 15.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 27 July - 02 August 2026 Fieldwork: 03-09 August 2026 Sample size: 1,647 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

New Zealand: Opportunity Party (Centre) is on 8% in the latest Roy Morgan poll, its highest showing ever in an opinion poll. This would translate to 10 seats for the party in the House of Representatives. ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand #NewZealand #nzpol

New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll: Seat projection National (Centre-right): 39 (+2) Labour (Centre-left): 31 Green (Green): 17 (+1) ACT (Libertarian): 10 (-1) NZ First (*): 10 (-3) Opportunity (Centre): 10 (+2) Māori (Indigenous): 3 (-1) +/- vs. 25 May - 21 June 2026 Fieldwork: 29 June - 26 July 2026 Sample size: 881 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Roy Morgan poll: National (Centre-right): 32% (+1) Labour (Centre-left): 25.5% Green (Green): 13.5% ACT (Libertarian): 8.5% (-1) NZ First (*): 8.5% (-2) Opportunity (Centre): 8% (+1.5) Māori (Indigenous): 2% (-1) +/- vs. 25 May - 21 June 2026 Fieldwork: 29 June - 26 July 2026 Sample size: 881 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia, Freshwater Strategy poll: Victoria, Two-Party Preferred L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 52% (-1) ALP (Centre-left): 48% (+1) +/- vs. 05-08 June 2026 Fieldwork: 31 July - 03 August 2026 Sample size: 1,020 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Freshwater Strategy poll: Victoria regional election L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 30% (+3) ALP (Centre-left): 25% (+2) ONP (Right): 22% (-3) GRN (Green): 14% +/- vs. 05-08 June 2026 Fieldwork: 31 July - 03 August 2026 Sample size: 1,020 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia