Pentagon Forex

15 April 2026 📍During the past 2.5 months Geopolitical tensions and constant warmongering are the only factors that move markets. Energy sector and oil speculation attract most interest. Moreover, fx pairs and main indexes churn on very low volume "robotic-algo" participation. —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD D: Previous posted medium to long term chart remains in full effect. Pair still in the estimated range. 200MA at approx 1.169xx acts as a temp support area. Currently testing adequate resistance at 1.179xx. A violent upward move could push towards 1.19xx where another big failure could be expected. On the lower end, a breach could gradually meet again with the 1.146xx support. - GBPUSD 4H: Nothing of significance. Every attempt for a rally meets strong resistance and reversals occur. Temp support is estimated at approx 1.347xx. - USDJPY 4H: Since March 2nd, sideways movement stuck between 157.6xx (Support) - 160.2xx (Resistance). A significant negative divergence is evident. - GBPJPY 4H: Has pushed outside both the upper 100 and 200 bollinger limits. A possible reversal could re visit the 212.1xx support area. - EURAUD 4H: Mostly fractured. Downside estimates still active. Medium term support at approx 1.62xx remains a decent bounce zone.

28 January 2026 ⚡️Upcoming US FED Rate Decision ***1st Rate Decision of 2026*** ‼️Market Remarks 2026 started with complicated developments. This week is the last of January and might act as a catalyst. —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD D: Since September 2022 an ascending channel has developed. When the top layer is tested 3 consecutive times, a strong decline follows. Overnight price tested the 1.20 handle with an overstretch. If price fails, the following weeks could see solid declines as low as the 1.12 support pillow. - GBPUSD 4H: Recent ascending move was expected. Testing upper resistance at approx 1.386xx. Base support is set at approx 1.341xx. - USDJPY 4H: Is the main market mover. Failure at 1.592xx initiated a sharp descend. In the following days, a short term test near the daily 200MA might be possible, approx 149.8xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Maintains overbought characteristics. - EURAUD 4H: Failure at 1.84xx developed into a nice medium term reversal. Remains weak.

20 November 2025 ⚡️Upcoming US Reports: ***Job reports and unemployment rate will ALSO be released*** - Philadelphia FED Mfg Index - Existing Home Sales —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Price is still retesting short term support at approx 1.152xx. A bounce higher shall meet resistance at approx 1.164xx. - GBPUSD 4H: Previous rally attempt failed at apporx 1.318xx. Since then temp support at approx 1.303xx has been adequate. A breach under this level could test lower channel support at appsox 1.294xx. - USDJPY 4H: Has entered the first levels of overbought territory, with max print at approx 157.7xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Quite elevated. Temporary weakness is expected. - EURAUD 4H: Stuck at testing 200MA support at approx 1.777xx.

13 November 2025 ⚡️Upcoming US Reports ***ALL REPORTS POSTPONED***: - Initial Jobless Claims - Continuing Jobless Claims - Core CPI - CPI —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Short term support at approx 1.152xx still holding. Overhead double resistance at 1.166xx (both 50MA and 100MA) shall require a very strong move in order to be breached. - GBPUSD 4H: Recent weakness has met support at approx 1.301xx. Currently at 1.317xx temp resistance. - USDJPY 4H: Swinging between 153.6xx and 154.9xx. A meaningful reversal lower has yet to be materialized. - GBPJPY 4H: Remains to be seen if price could re-test October 25h highs at approx 204.1xx. - EURAUD 4H: Negative sentiment until further notice.

05 November 2025 ⚡️Upcoming US Reports: - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (stronger than expected) - S&P Global Services PMI - ISM Non Mfg PMI - ISM Non Mfg Prices - JOLTS Job Openings —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Recent fail at 100MA resistance approx 1.166xx pushed prices to the lower 100BB boundaries. Currently re-testing the 1.148xx area. A continuation could see further declines reaching short term support at approx 14.100. - GBPUSD 4H: First minor bottoming move has been attempted at approx 1.301xx. However, there is no clear evidence if the current weakness is over. - USDJPY 4H: Quite resilient despite the overall factors. Minor negative divergences have yet no power to materialize. Temp support remains at 50MA approx 153.0xx - GBPJPY 4H: Overnight a nice move lower has developed that found temp support at 199.1xx. Speculative longs were activated. - EURAUD 4H: RBA decision had no surprises. Yet signals are mixed. Overall weakness seems to persist.

29 October 2025 ♦️FED Rate Decision tonight - A minor cut is possible. 📌Upcoming US Reports: - New Home Sales —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: For the past 24hrs it has landed at 100MA support. A break under this level could reach up to 1.156xx area. - GBPUSD 4H: Downtrend has no signs of reversing at the moment. A tiny bounce is expected at todays lows approx 1.319xx. - USDJPY 4H: Stable since last week. However, a break under 151.8xx could force price to test temp support at approx 150.7xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Under 200MA. Gap since Oct 6th is still open. Attempting to find a temp base at approx 200.9xx. - EURAUD 4H: Triple testing September 12th lows at approx 1.759xx. A strong breach could see further declines that could visit 1.74xxx area.

23 October 2025 Upcoming US Reports: - Initial Jobless Claims - Existing Home Sales —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Since Oct 17th has developed a notable downtrend that has pushed price under 200MA, 100MA and 50MA respectively. Temp support is provided approx at 1.157xx. A continuation shall test short term support at approx 1.153xx. Overhead resistance remains at approx 1.163xx. - GBPUSD 4H: Weakness persists, however, support at 1.331xx remains adequate. A retest of recent lows could see price reaching 1.326xx once more. - USDJPY 4H: Minor ascending channel is not compromised. Resistance is strong at approx 153.2xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Moving within the recent defined range between 201.9xx - 203.7xx. - EURAUD 4H: Testing and holding 200MA support. A breach under 1.779xx might accelerate into further declines.

08 October 2025 ♦️GBPJPY Remarks: Since May of 2025 an ascending channel has been developing. Every touch of the channel's upper boundaries has been met with great resistance. First in May, followed in July. The current ascending move has the characteristics of a parabolic formation testing and breaching the inflection point at 203.9xx. Price moved a bit further to test the July 2024 pre collapse level at approx 205.277. At the time of writing the last 2 candles have been far outside all upper BB levels (200, 100, 50). Moreover, the gap-up from October 6 2025 is active and yet not filled. Statistically such violent and vertical moves have the tendency to reverse in similar manner. However, a retest of the highs is always expected. Overall, our speculative shorts remain in place.

06 October 2025 US Gov Shutdown Update —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Strong reversal under 200MA has met temp support at approx 1.165xx where both 100MA and 50MA lower BBs meet. Price is not yet oversold, however a minor bounce could be realized at this level. - GBPUSD 4H: More stable than expected. Price is firm at 1.342xx short term support. - USDJPY 4H: Huge gap up of more than 1500 pips has propelled price even higher, breaching the 150.xx handle. Monitoring for the retest. Speculative shorts in place. - GBPJPY 4H: Extreme gap up, followed by an exuberant move that re-tested 202.1xx. Shorts activated. - EURAUD 4H: Overnight reversal paused at approx 1.768xx which serves as temp support.

03 October 2025 Upcoming US Reports: - S&P Global Services PMI - ISM Non Mfg PMI - ISM Non Mfg Prices Better than expected results could easily reverse overnight moves on all monitored pairs.

01 October 2025 Upcoming US Reports: - S&P Global Mfg PMI - ISM Mfg PMI - ISM Mfg Prices —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: 50MA at approx 1.176xx is acting as a wall of resistance. A confident breach upward could push up to 1.181xx. However, price action appears to be on the weak side. Support remains active at approx 1.17.09xx. - GBPUSD 4H: Price recovered above 200MA but met resistance at approx 1.352xx. Tight range is expected. - USDJPY 4H: Overnight action has beaten momentum. Currently attempting to find a temp bottom at approx 146.7xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Bounced off the Asian trading lows. Not very convincing. - EURAUD 4H: RBA interest rate decision forced price both under 200MA and 100MA. Formation is still supporting a downtrend.

26 September 2025 Upcoming US Reports: - Core PCE Price Index (MoM and YoY) - PCE Price Index (MoM and YoY) - Personal Spending —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Under 200MA for the past 24hrs. Current minor bounce is still healthy. Could retest temp resistance at approx 1.171xx - GBPUSD 4H: Sept 17th seems to have marked a significant short term top at 1.37264. Since then price has violently reversed near 1.332xx where temp support is met. Temp resistance is set at 1.340xx. Speculative longs in place. - USDJPY 4H: Strong rally with bullflag breakouts. A pause is expected. Possibilities of testing Aug 1st highs at 150.9xx still remain. - GBPJPY 4H: Maintains a tight range around 50MA. - EURAUD 4H: 200MA acts like a magnet. Any breakout over or under it does not last long and price returns on average at approx 1.786xx.

17 September 2025 US FED developments: Looming FED rate decision has global markets on the edge. Initially the cut is expected at 0.25. A 0.50 cut would be a surprise. All pairs have hit their upper and lower limits respectively.

09 September 2025 Upcoming US Reports: Nothing Significant. —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Tested July 24th high and failed. Temp support is provided at approx 1.172xx. - GBPUSD 4H: Marked a triple rejection at approx 1.359xx, (Jul 24th, Aug 14th and today). - USDJPY 4H: Support proved adequate once more at approx 146.6xx. Remains in tight range. - GBPJPY 4H: Under 50MA resistance 199.1xx. - EURAUD 4H: Overnight weakness has sent prices as low as 1.775xx. Speculative longs active.

04 September 2025 ‼️Upcoming US Reports: - ADP Non Farm Employment Change - Jobless Claims - S&P Global Services PMI - ISM Non Mfg PMI - ISM Non Mfg Prices ♦️All pairs within tight range

02 September 2025 ‼️Upcoming US Reports: - S&P Global Mfg PMI - ISM Mfg PMI - ISM Mfg Prices —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Price tested upper 50BB and failed as expected. Reversal has been strong pushing under 200MA. Currently attempting to find minor support at approx 1.162xx. Tight speculative longs in place. - GBPUSD 4H: Upper resistance at 50MA proved resilient. Price retraced below 1.34xx which served as the short term support level. A continuation could meet next line of defense at approx 1.329xx. - USDJPY 4H: Broken above Aug 22nd hights. Next level of resistance is set approx at 149.3xx. - GBPJPY 4H: Upper 100BB at approx 200.23x could not be breached. Today's reversal could possibly meet 200MA support at approx 198.5xx. - EURAUD 4H: Within tight range with a minor ascending formation.

27 August 2025 ♦️US Reports: Quiet reporting day. 📌Commentary on FED developments: Past 24 hours have been filled with dozens of developments. From the firing of FED Governor Cook to more internal decisions. Overall rate decision euphoria has been fading. —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Early night weakness has found support at 1.15800. A break under 1.15600 could push even lower. At the moment a minor pause is evident. - GBPUSD 4H: Moving sideways, yet quite elevated as it reached prices not seen since January 2022. Any strong reversal could meet the first line of support at approx 1.32200. - USDJPY 4H: For the past 3 weeks, price has not produced any significant momentum. It ranges between 1.46600 and 1.48800. - GBPJPY 4H: Trapped between 200MA support at approx 198.400 and 50MA resistance at approx 199.100. - EURAUD 4H: Keeps retesting the 200MA support at approx 1.78800. As long as it remains above this level, possibilities increase for a bounce higher.

22 August 2025 ‼️US FED: Markets await Powell's speech later today. It is not clear if there are going to be any significant remarks about a possible September rate cut. 📌 Pairs are within tight range.

30 July 2025 ‼️US Reports: Today's reports were better than expected on average, with remarkably strong ADP. 📌Commentary on FED decision: Overall data and US performance indicate a recovery. Inflation remains moderate. Therefore, despite the drama, in reality there is no need for any interest rate cut. —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: Recent descent has reached the lower 200BB at approx 1.14600. At this point buyers have emerged. It is estimated that a temporary pause shall take place. Speculative longs have been added on the retest. - GBPUSD 4H: Price remains well under the 200MA. Decent resistance wall has been established at approx 1.33650. Currently there are signs of a minor positive divergence. Tight longs active. - USDJPY 4H: For the last couple of days, 148.500 has been providing the required support. Statistically, if price breaks over 149.100, probabilities will increase for revisiting the 150+ handle. - GBPJPY 4H: 200MA support is not yet compromised. Short positions still active. - EURAUD 4H: Thus far, price has been swinging inside the recently established range between 1.77100 - 1.77800.

26 June 2025 ‼️Upcoming US Reports: - Continuing Jobless Claims - Core Durable Goods Orders - Core PCE Prices - GDP 📌Remarks: Speculation and rumours on FED chairman replacement still persist. Algos taking advantage of summer low volume. ⚠️EUR/USD Update below: —————————————————————————————— - EURUSD 4H: On April 25th price touched the first high of the year at approx 1.15709. Since then it has been moving on a fragile upward direction, accompanied with sharp reversals. A medium term ascending channel has been formed, however, the range is very wide. As of today, another annual high was recorded at approx 1.17451. This is spot on the upper channel resistance. Additionally, price is far out of the upper limits of both 200BB and 100BB. A note of caution is that all internal indicators print significant negative divergences. It is quite possible that a final upward blow is in the cards before another sharp decline materializes.