Pro Crypto Analyst

#US30 Update: #US30 forming a small #WedgePattern with support sitting slightly lower — a negative break could send the index falling further 📉🔴. Structure remains uncertain with no clear directional bias emerging from either side at this stage 💪. However in case of a positive #Breakout, short-term #Buys look favorable targeting the #ATH as take profit — take the setup in whichever direction price breaks and manage risk carefully once the move develops ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Weekly Update: #BTC closed its weekly candle near the #Support area with nothing particularly clear emerging from the structure 📉🔴. This week expected to bring more of the same indecisive price action with little meaningful movement likely to occur 💪. A downtrend move can be expected from current levels — avoid forcing any long entries and stay patient as the market continues to grind lower without any strong catalyst to spark a meaningful directional move ⚡️🎯👀

Two key measures confirm this is a historically mild bear market 📉🔴. Against the 200D MA, no prior bear kept price this close to trend — deepest discount this cycle stopped well short of the mildest bear before it 💪. Drawdown from #AllTimeHigh tells the same story — prior bears bottomed well below where this cycle has traded throughout. Historically shallow conditions suggesting structural resilience beneath the surface ⚡️🎯👀

#DXY Update: #DXY consolidating over the major #Support area and still holding above it with no confirmed break yet 📉🔴. Index falling lower would be a positive sign for risk assets but a confirmed candle close below the area is needed before any meaningful conclusions can be drawn 💪. A clean close below the #Support zone would signal dollar weakness returning — setting the stage for a potential bullish move across crypto and broader markets that traders have been patiently waiting for ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Weekly TF Update: #BTC faced a straight rejection from weekly #Resistance back down to weekly #Support — range continues to extend further into next week 📉🔴. No strong news events expected this month keeping #Breakout chances pretty low with market likely to remain stuck in this frustrating range 💪. Nothing much to act on or anticipate — just keep waiting patiently for the market to eventually make its move, forcing any trades in this low catalyst environment carries unnecessary risk and rewards patience above everything else ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC trading inside the heaviest cost-basis cluster on the chart — $62K–$68K range split almost evenly between #STH and #LTH supply 📉🔴. Long-term half acting as patient floor while underwater short-term holders represent the most reactive supply on any bounce 💪. #STH cost basis at $69K remains the key line deciding the next leg — above that the next real supply block sits between $83K–$86K where long-term holders have heavily accumulated ⚡️🎯👀

#TOTAL Update: #TOTAL still moving back and forth within the #Support area with sideways price action dominating 📉🔴. Market remains completely undecided with prices floating aimlessly until a solid confirmation signal finally kicks in 💪. Nothing actionable at this stage — let the market make its decision naturally and wait for a clear and convincing move before committing to any directional bias across the broader market ⚡️🎯👀

#BITCOIN Daily TF Update: #BITCOIN continuing to face rejection at intermediate #Resistance while remaining stuck inside the range with no clear breakout materializing 📉🔴. Price action remains frustratingly repetitive with sellers defending overhead levels consistently 💪. Weekly close will be the key deciding factor — let it play out before anticipating any short-term moves, clarity from the weekly candle will determine the next directional bias and trade opportunities ahead ⚡️🎯👀

The second channel is more mechanical. Since February, the 3-month futures basis—the main yield driving institutional crypto trading—has paid less than 2-year Treasuries. The only similar stretch was August 2022–January 2023, which ended at the cycle low. When Treasuries offer more than crypto basis trades, institutions have less reason to provide leverage and liquidity. Much of the weakness we see off-chain may be a result of that.

#BTC Update: #BTC making small new #LowerLows with price nearly reaching the middle of the range 📉🔴. Bearish momentum continuing to grind lower with sellers maintaining steady control throughout without any aggressive moves 💪. Expecting more downside ahead — watch closely how price action unfolds at the midpoint of the range as it could be a key decision level for the next meaningful directional move ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Macro Update: #DXY has been rallying since May and #BTC is handling it worse than almost any dollar rally on record 📉🔴. Typical precedent since 2015 had Bitcoin higher by this point in a dollar rally — this time it sits deep in the red 💪. Only 3 of the 20 past dollar rallies produced worse outcomes for #BTC — a historically unusual and concerning divergence that highlights just how much pressure the current macro environment is placing on price ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC.D Update: #BTC.D failed to make a new #HigherHigh and is now moving sideways after the #TrianglePattern break with no clear momentum emerging 📉🔴. Index showing indecision but moving higher remains probable from current structure 💪. Altcoins could dip again if dominance picks up and pushes higher — stay cautious with any altcoin long positions and avoid overexposure until dominance shows a clear directional move confirming the next trend ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update: #BTC is still figuring out its next directional move, with nothing significant happening at this stage 📉🔴. Shallow moves up and down continue to frustrate both bulls and bears, with no clear conviction emerging from either side 💪. The market remains in a holding pattern. Avoid overtrading in this environment and wait patiently for a decisive and convincing move to develop before committing to any position in either direction ⚡️🎯👀.

#ATOM Analysis: #ATOM showing very unclear price action with nothing clean to work with — just a clear #Downtrend with small upward moves that lack any real conviction 📉🔴. Structure remains firmly bearish with no meaningful signs of recovery or bullish intent visible at this stage 💪. Price can still move lower from here — wait for a retracement and take #Shorts accordingly for a clean and favorable risk to reward setup ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Early Bull Signal Update: A second #EarlyBullSignal has appeared on #BTC — historically the second signal has marked a confirmed bottom and the beginning of an uptrend 📈🟢💪. Following the first signal a further decline occurred, but the second has consistently indicated the bottom forming phase 🔴. Last rally showed no overheated bull phase and the extreme bear phase during the decline was very short — all signs pointing toward preparation for a significant rally about to begin. High probability that #BTC is currently forming a bottom ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update: #BTC attempting to move back up toward the #Resistance area once again, now on the verge of breaking the zone with momentum building 📈🟢💪. A confirmed flip of this zone alongside a strong weekly candle close would be a very good sign for a sustained bullish move to begin 🔴. Additional confirmation along the way will be key before strengthening the bullish bias — watch the weekly close very closely as it could be the most important candle of recent weeks ⚡️🎯👀

#GOLD Update: #GOLD showed a clean #TrianglePattern breakout alongside a sideways market breakout — providing a solid entry opportunity that has already moved into profit 📈🟢💪. Price action looking constructive with further upside still remaining on the table 🔴. A re-entry could be possible on any healthy pullback — watch closely for a retest of the breakout level and manage risk carefully to maximize gains as the move continues developing ⚡️🎯👀

#BTC Update: #BTC went sideways before dropping hard and strongly at yesterday's NY Open with bearish momentum now building 📉🔴. Price action remains unclear with no convincing directional signal emerging from either side yet 💪. LTF turning bearish signals a short-term drop is expected in the near term — avoid premature long entries and stay cautious as market continues to show weakness and indecision at current levels ⚡️🎯👀

2Y Treasury yield sitting above the Federal Funds Rate with the widest gap since November 2022 — bond market leaning toward the next move being a hike rather than a cut 📉🔴. A cut today would surprise most of the current positioning 💪. Reaction will matter far more than the actual decision — if market fails to hold a bid on unexpectedly good news, it would reveal more about the absence of a marginal buyer than the #FOMC decision itself ⚡️🎯👀

Strategy increased its USD Reserve by $650M and repurchased $109M of $STRC. This increased USD Duration by 143 days to 2.7 yrs and tightened STRC's BTC Credit by 10 bps. As of 8/9/26, we hold ₿840,447 in our BTC Reserve and $4.65B in our USD Reserve.