ThreePeatGoat Free Plays

Football Future #1 of 6 LFG

8/15 FREE PLAY Randy Dobnak looks like a clear regression candidate despite his 2.00 ERA, carrying an extremely concerning 3.2% K-BB rate with estimators ranging from a 4.41 dERA to a 4.90 SIERA. Neither offense inspires much confidence, so the pitching and bullpen advantages become even more important. Los Angeles has the stronger defense and its bullpen has quietly posted some of the best underlying numbers in baseball over the past month, while Kansas City’s relief corps has been among the league’s worst. With Detmers offering the better starting profile and the Angels holding the late-game edge, we like the angels to get the home W LFG MLB: 1 Unit ( 9:38 PM EST ) Angels ML

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8/12 FREE PLAY The Cubs are in a strong spot against Miles Mikolas, who has struggled badly this season with a 5.89 ERA and now faces a Chicago lineup featuring one hitter who has absolutely owned him. Pete Crow-Armstrong is 8-for-11 against Mikolas with five home runs, an incredible track record that makes him especially appealing against a low-velocity, pitch-to-contact starter. PCA’s pull power matches up well with Mikolas’ arsenal, and Chicago should have opportunities to generate offense throughout the game. With both the overall pitching matchup and Crow-Armstrong’s individual history pointing toward Chicago, we like the cubs to get the W LFG MLB: 1 Unit ( 6:45 PM EST ) Cubs ML

8/10 FREE PLAY Milwaukee is the play behind Logan Henderson, who has been outstanding with a 2.70 ERA, 0.90 WHIP, and 62 strikeouts against just 10 walks over 50 innings. His underlying numbers support the production, including a 2.61 xERA and 2.94 xFIP, so there’s plenty of reason to believe his strong start is legitimate. Casey Mize has been solid with a 3.40 ERA, but some of his underlying performance suggests regression could still be coming, and Milwaukee has a balanced lineup capable of generating offense without relying entirely on home runs. With Henderson providing the stronger pitching profile and the Brewers in a favorable matchup, we like them to get the away win LFG MLB: 1 Unit ( 9:40 PM EST ) Brewers ML

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8/7 FREE PLAY Roki Sasaki has looked much sharper since early June, with improved fastball velocity, a 3.66 xERA, a 1.25 WHIP over his last nine starts, and no barrels allowed since the All-Star break. Arizona counters with Merrill Kelly, who has struggled recently, posting a 6.16 xERA since the beginning of July while allowing plenty of hard contact and falling behind hitters. Los Angeles also owns the deeper lineup and enters with a fully rested bullpen after Thursday’s off day. With advantages on the mound, at the plate, and in the bullpen, the Dodgers are well-positioned to bounce back with a rout LFG!! MLB: 1 Unit ( 9:40 PM EST ) Dodgers -1.5

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8/3 FREE PLAY Chicago’s offense is red-hot, with Alex Bregman, Nico Hoerner, and Pete Crow-Armstrong leading a lineup that has been one of baseball’s most productive over the past two weeks. Justin Wrobleski has outperformed his underlying metrics all season, doesn’t miss many bats, and now faces a Cubs team seeing him for the second time while swinging the bats with confidence. The Dodgers also face a cross-country trip to Chicago and could have one eye on tomorrow’s marquee matchup, while Wrobleski has dealt with trade speculation leading up to this start. With the starting pitching gap smaller than it appears and the Cubs’ offense in excellent form we like the home team to get the W!! LFG MLB: 1 Unit ( 8:05 PM EST ) Cubs ML

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7/29 FREE PLAY The Guardians are in a favorable spot to take the series finale against a Reds team that has struggled offensively all season, ranking last in MLB with an 89 wRC+. Cleveland’s lineup is well-equipped to exploit Brady Singer, who has been vulnerable to left-handed hitters, allowing an .863 OPS and .516 slugging percentage to them this season. While the Guardians have hit a rough patch recently, they also bring a reliable bullpen into the matchup, an important advantage following Cincinnati’s doubleheader. With two evenly matched teams but several matchup edges favoring Cleveland, the value is on the road side LFG MLB: 1 Unit ( 7:10 PM EST ) Guardians ML

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