Tippo // Value Bets

When in Rome.

🦛

Benfica vs Real Madrid Taking advantage of a nice boost to Flutter prices by adding O1.5 Cards here, on a price that has shortened to around 7/2 across the board. Mainline has landed in 12/41 for Benfica and 12/36 for Real Madrid this season. Letexier as…

Benfica vs Real Madrid Taking advantage of a nice boost to Flutter prices by adding O1.5 Cards here, on a price that has shortened to around 7/2 across the board. Mainline has landed in 12/41 for Benfica and 12/36 for Real Madrid this season. Letexier as referee has shown 5 RCs in 12 Ligue 1 games this season (47/183 all time), and although he’s shown 0 RCs in 5 UCL games this season looking further back he’s shown 8 in 25 all time, averaging 0.26 RCs per game in his career as a whole. Couple this with the intensity of the recent H2H, with 2 RCs shown to Real Madrid, and I think we’re getting some great value here.

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Chelsea vs West Ham Standard Summerville play. Mainline has now landed in 7/8 recent starts for Summerville / opposing RB.

Newcastle vs Liverpool Think Ramsey starts tonight after his performance midweek and this price stands out 1.78 fw p90 this season, 3,2,6,0,2,4,0,2,1 in starts Liverpool aren’t the biggest foulers but made 15 in the reverse fixture.

Brighton vs Everton 0,1,2,1,2,1,1 last 7 starts for Branthwaite from CB. Think this price is worth a go with him at LB against Rutter, who averages 1.4 fouls p90.

UEL Double Rueda has been tipped elsewhere and shortened but still think there’s some value. 3,3,1,2,2,1,2 last 7, averaging 1.5 p90 this season. Hemmings on his full senior debut - 1,5,3,1,1,1 in games i can find stats for, should be willing to get stuck in on such a big night for him.

Benfica vs Real Madrid Likewise targeting another foul magnet in Mastantuono, who’s averaging 4.59 FI p90 this season. Again Dahl’s numbers are inconsistent but the prices justify this.