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🏀 NBA Hawks - Warriors Pick: Gui Santos over 17.5 points + assists Odds: 1.77 Stake: 3 units Santos already has an important role, and with the Warriors likely missing several players tonight (Porzingis, Melton, and Draymond), his involvement could increase even more. When playing between 27 and 37 minutes, he is averaging 19.4 points + assists. If we focus on matchups against top-10 pace teams (Atlanta ranks 6th-fastest), that average rises to 20.8. Keeping similar minutes against teams that are below average at defending the paint (Atlanta is 10th-worst), Santos averages 20.7. In games without Moody, the number climbs to 21.1. With Atlanta also coming off a game yesterday, fatigue could play a role, but the Warriors have shown they can stay competitive, which should help Santos maintain strong production. LET'S GO! 🤜🤛✍️🤝 🏀 NBA Jazz - 76ers Pick: Quentin Grimes over 21.5 points Odds: 1.80 Stake: 3 units Over his last 10 games, Grimes is averaging 21.6 points and has gone over this line in 5 of 9 contests. In 3 of the under performances, the 76ers lost by at least 14 points against strong opponents like the Pistons, Cavaliers, and Nuggets - a very different level of competition than Utah. If those blowout losses are removed, Grimes’ scoring average rises to 25.2 points. The only remaining under came against the Jazz with Maxey active, when Grimes still scored 16 points despite going 0 for 4 from three. Utah owns one of the league’s weakest defenses, and Grimes has already shown he can produce in this matchup, including a 25-point game in 27 minutes last year without George, Embiid, and Maxey. If the line is 22.5 points, that is good. LET'S GO! ⚡️⭐️💫 🏒 NHL Minnesota Wild - Dallas Stars Pick - under 5.5 Odds - 1.88 (-114) Stake - 3% /u Early game in Minnesota. The Wild have been struggling lately, which often leads to more open and higher-scoring games. The Stars are coming off a low-scoring game against the Avs, but I expect more goals here. Minnesota are still capable of scoring, but their goaltending isn’t as strong as it was a couple of months ago. I see good value on the under. LET'S GO! 💆‍♂️🤞🫡