BK Market Daily

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🚨 BK MARKET DAILY 📅 August 12, 2026 | Morning Brief Markets remain cautious ahead of the U.S. inflation report. Gold continues to show strength, while Bitcoin and Ethereum are attempting to recover from the latest sell-off. ₿ Bitcoin — $63,650 BTC remains below its short-term moving averages. $63,400 is the key support, while $64,000–$64,200 is the first major resistance zone. ◆ Ethereum — $1,889 ETH is holding near $1,880 support, with $1,900 acting as the critical resistance. A sustained move above $1,900 could strengthen the recovery. 📊 ETF Flows Bitcoin ETF: +$7.8 million Ethereum ETF: -$1.7 million ETF flows are not yet strong enough to provide the market with clear direction. 🟡 Gold — $4,393 The bullish trend remains intact. Resistance stands at $4,400–$4,425, while $4,347 is the first key support. 💵 DXY & Nasdaq The DXY is trading at 99.81, below the key 100 level. Nasdaq futures are near 29,713; the broader outlook remains positive, but volatility may increase following the CPI release. ⏰ Today’s Key Time: 12:30 UTC U.S. July CPI is expected at 3.4% year-over-year. A higher-than-expected reading could pressure crypto and technology stocks, while a softer figure may support risk assets. 🔎 Key Message: A stronger recovery is not confirmed unless Bitcoin reclaims $64,200 and Ethereum breaks above $1,900. Risk management should remain the priority ahead of the CPI release. 🌐 https://crypto.atachain.com 📲 https://t.me/bkmarketdaily This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. #BKMarketDaily #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Gold #Nasdaq #DXY #CPI

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📊 BK MARKET DAILY | JULY 30, 2026 🏦 THE FED HELD RATES STEADY, BUT MARKETS FOUND LITTLE RELIEF The Federal Reserve kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, as expected. However, U.S. Treasury yields rose, Wall Street sold off sharply and the Nasdaq 100 entered correction territory. The decision can best be described as a “hawkish hold.” 🏦 FED DECISION The FOMC approved the decision by a 9–3 vote. Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari and Lorie Logan dissented in favor of a 25-basis-point rate increase. The Fed’s main messages: • Economic activity continues to expand at a solid pace despite elevated uncertainty. • Productivity growth and capital investment remain strong. • Job gains have kept pace with labor-force growth. • Inflation remains above the 2% target, partly due to supply shocks in sectors including energy. • The Fed remains committed to delivering price stability. Kevin Warsh also stressed that the Fed has no “soft” or unofficially higher inflation target. The official target remains 2%. However, Warsh provided limited guidance regarding future rate decisions, increasing market uncertainty. A September rate increase remains possible and market expectations continue to fluctuate sharply. 📉 SHARP SELLOFF ON WALL STREET U.S. markets closed with significant losses following the Fed decision and press conference: • Dow Jones: 51,594 | -2.19% • S&P 500: 7,316 | -1.52% • Nasdaq Composite: -1.74% • Nasdaq 100: approximately -2.10% More than $1 trillion in U.S. stock-market value was estimated to have been erased during the selloff. Technology and industrial stocks led the decline: • Nvidia: -2.37% • AMD: -3.67% • Micron: -7.80% • Intel: -8.51% • JPMorgan: -3.30% • Caterpillar: -6.69% • Tesla: -1.99% The Nasdaq 100 has fallen approximately 10% from its June peak, officially entering technical correction territory. 📊 NASDAQ 100 FUTURES Nasdaq 100 futures are trading near 27,466 this morning, up approximately 0.45%. However, this limited rebound has not changed the broader bearish structure. • Initial support: 27,470 • Critical support: 27,200–27,180 • Initial resistance: 27,610 • Main resistance: 27,780–27,935 • Trend-reversal threshold: Above 28,000 NQ remains below all major hourly moving averages and its 200-hour moving average. The rebound remains weak unless 27,610 is reclaimed. A break below 27,200 could deepen the selloff. 📈 U.S. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to approximately 4.70%. Rising long-term borrowing costs indicate that financial conditions continue to tighten even without an official Fed rate increase. • Initial support: 4.62%–4.60% • Initial resistance: 4.72% • Next risk zone: 4.80% The U.S. 30-year Treasury yield also reached 5.23%, its highest level since 2007. A continued rise in yields could pressure: • Technology-stock valuations • Bitcoin and the broader crypto market • Gold • Credit and housing costs 🇺🇸 S&P 500 AND DOW JONES The 7,300 level is the first major support for the S&P 500. • Support: 7,300 and 7,200 • Resistance: 7,400 and 7,430 The index needs to reclaim the 7,400–7,430 area to improve its short-term structure. A sustained break below 7,300 could extend the correction toward 7,200. For the Dow Jones: • Support: 51,000 • Resistance: 52,200–52,750 The Dow’s 2.19% decline confirms that the selloff was not limited to technology stocks. ₿ BITCOIN Bitcoin is trading near $64,020. Although BTC recovered from the $63,000 area following the Fed decision, it remains below important short-term resistance levels. • Initial support: $63,750 • Main support: $63,160 • Critical support: $62,740–$62,500 • Initial resistance: $64,200 • Main resistance: $64,420 • Major resistance: $65,250 Reclaiming $64,200–$64,420 could improve Bitcoin’s short-term structure. However, a break below $63,750 could expose $63,160 and then the $62,740 area. Bitcoin’s ability to remain near $64,000 despite the sharp Nasdaq selloff shows relative resilience. Still, rising Treasury yields mean it is too early to declare a strong return of risk appetite. ◆ ETHEREUM Ethereum is trading near $1,904. The price is slightly below its short-term moving averages but remains marginally above the 200-hour moving average. • Initial support: $1,899 • Main support: $1,880–$1,873 • Critical support: $1,849 • Initial resistance: $1,907 • Main resistance: $1,916–$1,920 • Major resistance: $1,960 ETH needs to establish itself above $1,916–$1,920. A loss of $1,899 could trigger another test of the $1,880 area. 💵 U.S. DOLLAR INDEX The U.S. Dollar Index fell sharply after the Fed decision and is trading near 100.98. DXY remains below all major hourly moving averages. • Initial support: 100.80–100.76 • Main support: 100.65 • Initial resistance: 101.05 • Main resistance: 101.20 • Major resistance: 101.40 A weaker dollar would normally support crypto and gold. However, the simultaneous rise in Treasury yields shows that this is not a conventional risk-on environment. DXY needs to reclaim 101.20 to confirm renewed strength. 🥇 GOLD Spot gold is trading near $4,036 after retreating from the $4,080 area and moving below its hourly moving averages. • Initial support: $4,029 • Main support: $4,010–$4,000 • Critical support: $3,983 • Initial resistance: $4,048–$4,057 • Main resistance: $4,080 • Major resistance: $4,100 Gold is currently caught between two opposing forces: • Middle East conflict and geopolitical risk support safe-haven demand. • Rising U.S. Treasury yields create downward pressure. The technical structure may remain weak unless gold reclaims $4,057. A sustained break below $4,000 could increase selling pressure. 🌍 IRAN AND OIL President Trump said that time will tell whether an agreement with Iran can be reached. However, developments on the ground do not yet indicate meaningful de-escalation. The United States carried out strikes against multiple Iranian Revolutionary Guard targets following Iran’s missile attack on U.S. forces in Jordan. After the previous session’s sharp rise, Brent crude is trading approximately 1% lower near $89.80 per barrel. WTI is trading near $83.80. Persistently elevated oil prices support the Fed’s concerns about energy-driven inflation. 📅 KEY EVENTS TODAY Several important U.S. economic reports will be released at 8:30 AM ET: • Second-quarter GDP • PCE inflation • Core PCE inflation • Personal income and spending • Weekly jobless claims This will be the first major data set capable of resetting market expectations following the Fed decision. Apple and Amazon will also release earnings after the U.S. market close. Their guidance on investment and artificial-intelligence spending will be particularly important following the sharp technology-stock selloff. ⚠️ MARKET DIRECTION Short-term outlook: RISK-OFF / CAUTIOUSLY BEARISH Negative signals: • Nasdaq 100 is in correction territory • Broad-based selling across the S&P 500 and Dow • U.S. 10-year Treasury yield near 4.70% • The 30-year yield is at a 19-year high • Three Fed officials voted for a rate increase • Oil and geopolitical risks remain elevated • BTC and ETH remain below major resistance levels Limited positive signals: • DXY has fallen below 101 • Bitcoin is holding near $64,000 • Nasdaq futures are attempting a limited recovery 📌 OVERALL ASSESSMENT The Fed’s decision to hold rates steady should not automatically be considered positive for markets. Three dissenting votes in favor of a rate increase, the firm commitment to the 2% inflation target and rising long-term Treasury yields all reinforce the hawkish side of the decision. The most important market indicator is no longer only the Fed funds rate. Investors should closely watch whether the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield breaks above 4.72%. A strong recovery cannot be confirmed unless Nasdaq futures reclaim 27,610, Bitcoin moves above $64,420 and Ethereum recovers $1,920. Volatility could rise again following today’s GDP and PCE data. Avoiding excessive leverage and waiting for closing confirmation may be more prudent than reacting to the first market move. This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 🌐 https://crypto.atachain.com

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📊 BK MARKET DAILY | JULY 29, 2026 – 1:30 PM TRT 🏦 TODAY IS FED DECISION DAY Markets are showing a limited recovery from yesterday’s sharp selloff as the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision approaches. Bitcoin has moved back above $64,600, while Nasdaq futures and the total cryptocurrency market capitalization are trading higher. However, rising oil prices and renewed tensions in the Middle East mean that Kevin Warsh’s press conference could prove just as important as the rate decision itself. 🏦 FED EXPECTATIONS According to CME data, current market expectations are: • Rates unchanged: 70.6% • 25-basis-point rate increase: 29.4% Yesterday, the probabilities stood at 63.7% for no change and 36.3% for a rate increase. Expectations for the Fed to hold rates steady have therefore strengthened significantly over the past 24 hours. BK Market Daily’s base case is also for the Fed to maintain its target range at 3.50%–3.75%. However, the decision alone will not be enough to determine market direction. Investors will closely follow Kevin Warsh’s comments regarding: • Rising oil prices • Energy-driven inflation risks • The economic impact of the conflict in the Middle East • The possibility of a September rate increase • Potential disagreements among Fed officials ⏰ Interest-rate decision: 2:00 PM ET 🎙 Kevin Warsh press conference: 2:30 PM ET ₿ BITCOIN Bitcoin has recovered from yesterday’s move toward $63,000 and is currently trading near $64,638, up more than 1%. Key levels: • Initial support: $64,000 • Main support: $63,200–$63,500 • Initial resistance: $65,000 • Major resistance: $65,700–$66,000 A sustained move above $65,000 could strengthen the recovery. However, a hawkish Fed message that leaves the door open to future rate increases could bring $64,000 back into focus. ◆ ETHEREUM Ethereum is trading near $1,920. The price has moved above its short-term moving averages, but a confirmed breakout has not yet developed. • Initial support: $1,913–$1,916 • Main support: $1,890–$1,900 • Initial resistance: $1,925–$1,930 • Major resistance: $1,970 A sustained move above $1,930 could improve Ethereum’s short-term structure. However, declining ETH dominance suggests that the current recovery is being led primarily by Bitcoin. 📊 CRYPTO MARKET OVERVIEW • Total crypto market capitalization: $2.18 trillion • USDT dominance: 8.417% | -0.70% • Bitcoin dominance: 59.30% | +0.39% • Ethereum dominance: 10.60% | -0.80% The decline in USDT dominance indicates a limited return of capital to the cryptocurrency market during the session. However, rising Bitcoin dominance alongside falling Ethereum dominance shows that broad altcoin strength has not yet developed. 📊 ETF FLOWS | JULY 28 🔴 Bitcoin ETFs: -$49.7 million 🟢 Ethereum ETFs: +$9.4 million 🔴 Solana ETFs: -$18.1 million 🔴 Hyperliquid ETFs: -$1.2 million Bitcoin ETFs continued to experience net outflows, while Ethereum ETFs showed positive divergence. Overall, the figures suggest that institutional investors remain cautious ahead of the Fed decision. 🇺🇸 NASDAQ Nasdaq 100 futures are trading near 28,031, up approximately 0.36%. • Initial support: 27,900 • Main support: 27,650 • Initial resistance: 28,060–28,080 • Major resistance: 28,240 Nasdaq futures have moved above their short-term moving averages. However, the 28,060–28,080 area contains both VWAP and a major long-term moving-average resistance. A stronger recovery cannot be confirmed unless this area is cleared. 💵 U.S. DOLLAR INDEX The U.S. Dollar Index is trading near 101.38 and is slightly lower. • Initial resistance: 101.50 • Main resistance: 101.80 • Support: 101.00–101.20 An unchanged rate decision accompanied by a balanced message could weaken the dollar. A hawkish message that keeps future rate increases on the table could push DXY back toward 101.80. 🥇 GOLD Gold is trading near $4,031. The price remains below its hourly moving averages, keeping the short-term technical structure weak. • Initial support: $4,020 • Psychological support: $4,000 • Initial resistance: $4,035 • Main resistance: $4,043–$4,047 Gold currently faces conflicting forces. A hawkish Fed and a stronger dollar could push prices lower, while escalating tensions in the Middle East could support safe-haven demand. Sharp, two-way volatility may therefore follow the Fed decision. 🌍 JORDAN AND MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS Multiple explosions were reported in Jordan. According to confirmed information, Jordanian air defenses intercepted and destroyed five ballistic missiles launched from Iran and reportedly aimed at an area hosting U.S. forces. Following the incident, the United States and Saudi Arabia carried out airstrikes against Iran-backed groups in Iraq. Brent crude rose more than 3% and moved toward $87 per barrel. The renewed escalation is important for the Federal Reserve. Persistently elevated oil prices could increase U.S. inflation through higher energy and transportation costs. 🏢 IONIC DIGITAL SURGES 26% ON NASDAQ DEBUT Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure company Ionic Digital climbed 26% during its first trading session on Nasdaq, rising from an opening price of $50 to close at $62.90. The move valued the company at approximately $2.8 billion. Ionic Digital was created through the Celsius restructuring process. Approximately 37 million Ionic shares had previously been distributed to Celsius creditors. The company’s direct listing on Nasdaq now provides those shareholders with transparent price discovery and market liquidity. ⚠️ THREE POST-FED SCENARIOS 1️⃣ RATES UNCHANGED + BALANCED MESSAGE Bitcoin, Ethereum and Nasdaq could experience further relief. DXY and Treasury yields may move lower, while Bitcoin could challenge the $65,000 resistance. 2️⃣ RATES UNCHANGED + HAWKISH WARSH Markets could initially rise following the unchanged decision, only to reverse during the press conference. A clear signal that a September rate increase remains possible could pressure crypto and technology stocks. 3️⃣ 25-BASIS-POINT RATE INCREASE This is not the market’s base case. If it occurs, the dollar and Treasury yields could rise sharply, while Bitcoin, altcoins, Nasdaq and initially gold could face significant selling pressure. 📌 OVERALL ASSESSMENT Markets are attempting to recover from yesterday’s losses, but a strong and broad-based return of risk appetite has not yet been confirmed. Bitcoin’s price and dominance are rising together, suggesting that capital is moving into Bitcoin before rotating into altcoins. The decline in USDT dominance is constructive in the short term, but market moves before the Fed announcement may remain unconfirmed. Today, the focus will be not only on the rate decision but also on Kevin Warsh’s language regarding oil, war, inflation and the September meeting. Avoiding excessive leverage and waiting until the press conference is complete may be more prudent than reacting to the first market move. This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 🌐 https://crypto.atachain.com 📲 BK Market Daily: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily #BKMarketDaily #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #FederalReserve #FOMC #Nasdaq #Gold #Oil #MarketAnalysis

📊 BK MARKET DAILY | JULY 28, 2026 RISK-OFF PRESSURE BUILDS AHEAD OF THE FED Global markets are under renewed selling pressure, led by technology stocks. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Nasdaq futures and gold have moved lower, while a stronger U.S. dollar is weighing on risk assets. 🇰🇷 SHARP SELLOFF IN ASIA South Korea’s Kospi index dropped approximately 10%. Double-digit losses in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix intensified concerns about elevated valuations across the AI and semiconductor sectors. • Kospi: approximately -10% • Nikkei 225: approximately -4% • Taiwan Taiex: approximately -3.9% ₿ BITCOIN Bitcoin fell approximately 2.7% after the U.S. market close, retreating into the $63,000–$63,400 area. Most of the weekend gains were erased as roughly $700 million in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated. Key levels: • Support: $63,050 • Critical support: $62,650–$62,800 • Initial resistance: $63,900–$64,000 • Main recovery threshold: $64,500–$64,700 As long as Bitcoin remains below $64,500, recovery attempts may stay limited. A sustained break below $63,000 could increase selling pressure. ◆ ETHEREUM Ethereum declined toward $1,880 and moved below its short-term moving averages. • Support: $1,866 and $1,855 • Resistance: $1,900, $1,915 and $1,935 ETH needs to reclaim the $1,900–$1,915 area before a stronger recovery can develop. 🏦 FED DECISION The Federal Reserve’s two-day meeting begins today. The rate decision will be announced on Wednesday, July 29, at 2:00 p.m. ET, followed by the press conference at 2:30 p.m. ET. Current market expectations: • Rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%: approximately 62% • 25-basis-point rate increase: approximately 38% • Rate cut: not a meaningful near-term expectation Holding rates steady remains the base case. However, the rising probability of a rate increase is creating uncertainty. The Fed’s inflation assessment and guidance for September will be as important as the decision itself. 💵 U.S. DOLLAR AND GOLD The U.S. Dollar Index has strengthened toward 101.50 and remains above its short-term moving averages. The next major resistance is near 101.80. Spot gold is trading near $4,045: • Support: $4,032 and $4,022 • Resistance: $4,060, $4,072 and $4,080 Dollar strength continues to create pressure across gold, crypto and other risk-sensitive assets. 🇺🇸 U.S. MARKETS • Nasdaq 100 futures: 27,871 | -1.13% • Dow Jones: 52,210 | +0.51% • S&P 500: 7,413 | broadly flat • U.S. 10-year Treasury yield: 4.628% Nasdaq futures remain below all major short-term moving averages. A recovery above 28,300 would be the first positive signal, while 28,600 is required for stronger confirmation. 𝕏 X MONEY Elon Musk’s X Money is rolling out to Premium and Premium+ subscribers in the United States. The service offers free transfers, yields of up to 6% for eligible users and 3% cashback on qualifying X Card purchases. ⚠️ MARKET OUTLOOK The broader market is currently in risk-off mode: • Heavy selling across Asian technology stocks • Weak technical structure in Nasdaq futures • Strengthening U.S. Dollar Index • Large crypto liquidations • Renewed pricing of a possible Fed rate increase Ahead of the Fed decision, excessive leverage remains particularly risky. Bitcoin’s reaction around $63,000 will be critical for the short-term market direction. This content is for informational purposes only and is not financial advice. 🌐 https://crypto.atachain.com 📲 BK Market Daily: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily

No noise. Just market direction. Not financial advice. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BK Market Daily Telegram: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily Website: https://crypto.atachain.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BKMarketDaily

🚨 BK Market Daily — July 27, 2026 Monday Intraday Market Briefing Markets are starting the new week with a recovery attempt on the crypto side. BTC is trying to hold around the 65,500 area. ETH has moved strongly above 1,970. Gold remains close to the 4,100 area. Nasdaq futures are showing a rebound attempt. DXY is still above 101. Today’s main message is clear: Crypto is recovering. ETH is stronger than BTC. But as long as DXY remains above 101, the market is still not in full risk-on mode. The key focus this week: Fed rate decision, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments, Core PCE and U.S. GDP data. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 MARKET OVERVIEW Today’s setup is stronger than last week, but still needs confirmation. • BTC around 65,500 • ETH strong above 1,970 • Gold around 4,098 • DXY around 101.15 • TOTAL market cap near 2.22T • TOTAL2 around 906B • TOTAL3 around 669B • BTC dominance near 59.1 • ETH dominance has moved up toward 10.7 • Nasdaq futures are rebounding • U.S. 10-year yield around 4.63 The main market question: Can BTC reclaim and hold above 66,000? Can ETH continue toward the 2,000 psychological level? If DXY stays above 101, will this recovery remain limited? ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ₿ BITCOIN / BTC Bitcoin is trading around the 65,500 area. BTC has seen a strong short-term rebound, but clear confirmation above 66,000 has not formed yet. On the 15-minute chart, price is moving in an upward trend. BTC is trying to stay above the EMA ribbon. However, after approaching the 65,700–65,800 area, short-term profit-taking risk is also present. Key BTC levels: Support: 65,300 65,000 64,800 64,500 64,000 Resistance: 65,750 66,000 66,500 67,000 The most critical level for BTC today: 66,000. If BTC breaks above 66,000 and holds there, 66,500 and 67,000 come back into focus. If BTC falls below 65,300, the 65,000 and 64,800 supports may be tested again. BTC message: Above 65,000, the structure remains positive. Above 66,000, momentum improves. Above 67,000, new momentum confirmation begins. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ♦️ ETHEREUM / ETH ETH is one of the strongest assets in the market today. Ethereum is trading above 1,970 and reached the 1,981 area. On the 15-minute chart, ETH is clearly in an upward trend. Price is moving strongly above the EMA ribbon and is approaching the 2,000 psychological level. Key ETH levels: Support: 1,960 1,950 1,940 1,920 1,900 Resistance: 1,981 1,990 2,000 2,020 The most critical ETH zone today: 1,950–1,960. As long as ETH holds above this zone, the trend remains strong. If 1,981 breaks again, 1,990 and 2,000 may be targeted. If ETH falls below 1,950, short-term momentum may weaken. ETH message: Above 1,950 is strong. Above 1,981 opens the door to 2,000. 1,900 remains the main trend support. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🥇 GOLD / XAUUSD Gold is trading around the 4,098 area. After the previous strong rally, gold is now trying to stabilize around 4,100. Gold recently reached 4,166, but after profit-taking from that area, price is now trying to hold the 4,090–4,100 range. Key Gold levels: Support: 4,090 4,080 4,060 4,040 4,022 Resistance: 4,100 4,116 4,130 4,166 The key level for Gold: 4,100. If Gold reclaims and holds above 4,100, 4,116 and 4,130 come back into focus. If strength builds above 4,130, the 4,166 high may be tested again. If Gold drops below 4,080, the 4,060 and 4,040 supports should be watched. Gold message: 4,100 is the decision area. Above 4,130 shows strength. Below 4,080 signals weakness. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💵 DXY / DOLLAR INDEX DXY is around 101.15. This is still an important risk factor for the market. As long as DXY stays above 101, the environment is not fully comfortable for BTC, ETH, Nasdaq and Gold. Key DXY levels: Support: 101.00 100.85 100.60 100.35 Resistance: 101.20 101.35 101.60 101.80 If DXY moves and holds above 101.20, pressure may increase on risk assets. But if DXY falls back below 101, BTC, ETH and Nasdaq may move more comfortably. DXY message: Above 101 requires caution. Above 101.20, pressure increases. Below 101, risk assets can breathe. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 NASDAQ Nasdaq futures are starting the week with a rebound attempt. NQ is trading around 28,700. In recent sessions, Nasdaq weakness was one of the main risks for crypto. Today there is a short-term recovery attempt, but without reclaiming 29,000 and 29,300, strong risk-on confirmation is still missing. Key Nasdaq levels: Support: 28,600 28,500 28,350 28,200 Resistance: 28,750 28,900 29,000 29,300 Nasdaq message: Above 28,500, the recovery attempt remains alive. Above 29,000, the first strength signal appears. Above 29,300, risk appetite becomes more positive. Nasdaq is still important for crypto. If BTC and ETH want to continue higher in a healthier way, Nasdaq recovery must continue. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏦 THIS WEEK’S MACRO CALENDAR This is a very important week for markets. Wednesday: 🇺🇸 Fed rate decision — 21:00 Expected: 3.75% Previous: 3.75% 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh press conference — 21:30 Thursday: 🇺🇸 Core PCE yearly — 15:30 Previous: 3.4% 🇺🇸 GDP quarterly — 15:30 Expected: 2.3% Previous: 2.1% Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s comments will be critical this week. The rate decision matters, but Warsh’s message about the future rate path may matter even more. The market will look for answers to these questions: How long will the Fed keep rates high? Is the Fed still concerned about inflation? Will PCE support rate-cut expectations? If growth remains strong, will DXY strengthen again? How will Nasdaq and crypto react to this data flow? Macro message: This week, charts alone are not enough. The data calendar can define market direction. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 CRYPTO MARKET STRUCTURE The total crypto market cap is around 2.22T. TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 also show a slightly positive structure. The rise in ETH dominance is important. ETH standing stronger than BTC can be a positive signal for the altcoin market. But there is still no strong confirmation for a full altcoin season. As long as BTC dominance remains around 59, market leadership is still on the Bitcoin side. For a stronger altcoin environment: • BTC must hold above 66,000–67,000 • ETH must settle above 2,000 • DXY must fall below 101 • Nasdaq must recover • TOTAL3 must continue to strengthen Crypto message: ETH is strong. BTC is in a decision zone. Altcoins are recovering, but full confirmation is still missing. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 TODAY’S STRATEGY The market is stronger today, but caution is still needed. BTC is near the 66,000 threshold. ETH is approaching the 2,000 psychological level. Gold is around 4,100. Nasdaq is rebounding. DXY is still above 101. The strategy is clear: No FOMO. No excessive leverage. Do not chase unconfirmed breakouts. For BTC, wait for a hold above 66,000. For ETH, 1,950 must be protected. For Gold, watch the 4,100 level. If DXY moves above 101.20, be careful. Without Nasdaq moving above 29,000, full risk-on confirmation should not be expected. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ✅ POSITIVE SCENARIO • BTC holds above 66,000 • BTC tests 66,500 and 67,000 • ETH breaks above 1,981 • ETH tests 2,000 • Gold settles above 4,100 • Nasdaq recovers above 29,000 • DXY falls below 101 • TOTAL and TOTAL2 remain positive In this scenario, the market can continue the week with strength. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ❌ NEGATIVE SCENARIO • BTC drops below 65,300 • ETH falls below 1,950 • Gold drops below 4,080 • DXY moves above 101.20 • Nasdaq falls back below 28,500 • U.S. data pushes DXY and yields higher • Fed tone comes in more hawkish than expected In this scenario, short-term profit-taking may deepen. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FINAL MESSAGE Markets started the week positively, but confirmation is still needed. BTC is near the 66,000 line. ETH is very strong above 1,970. Gold is around 4,100. Nasdaq is rebounding. DXY is still above 101. The main message for today and this week: Crypto is recovering, but because of DXY and Fed week, risk management must remain the priority. Critical levels: BTC: 66,000 / 67,000 ETH: 1,950 / 2,000 Gold: 4,100 / 4,166 DXY: 101 / 101.20 Nasdaq: 29,000 / 29,300 No FOMO. Wait for confirmation. Risk management first.

🚨 BK Market Daily is live. BTC near 66K. ETH above 1,900. Gold above 4,100. DXY back above 101. Nasdaq still weak below 30K. Stronger market, but no full risk-on confirmation yet. Telegram: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily https://crypto.atachain.com Watch: https://youtu.be/basnc7lkfvQ #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Crypto #Trading #BKMarketDaily

Türkçe / Turkish

• BTC holds above 66,000 • BTC tests the 67,000 area • ETH moves above 1,950 • Gold returns toward 4,130–4,166 • DXY moves back below 101 • Nasdaq recovers above 29,300 and 29,600 • ETF inflows continue • CLARITY Act headlines become positive In this scenario, the market can strengthen again. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ NEGATIVE SCENARIO • BTC drops below 65,200 • ETH loses 1,900 • DXY moves above 101.20 • Nasdaq breaks below 29,000 • Gold falls below 4,100 • Geopolitical and oil pressure increases • U.S. data pushes DXY and yields higher In this scenario, profit-taking may deepen again. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FINAL MESSAGE The market is stronger today, but caution is still needed. BTC is near the 66,000 line. ETH is strong above 1,900. Gold is positive above 4,100. DXY is back above 101. Nasdaq is still weak. ETF flows are supportive for BTC and ETH. The CLARITY Act may be positive in the medium term. But DXY, Nasdaq, oil and war risk continue to drive short-term direction. Today’s critical levels: BTC: 66,000 / 67,000 ETH: 1,900 / 1,950 DXY: 101 / 101.20 Gold: 4,100 / 4,166 Nasdaq: 29,300 / 30,000 No FOMO. Wait for confirmation. Risk management first. No noise. Just market direction. Not financial advice. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BK Market Daily Telegram: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily Website: https://crypto.atachain.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BKMarketDaily

🚨 BK Market Daily — July 23, 2026 Thursday Daily Market Briefing Markets are starting the day with Bitcoin approaching the 66,000 area, Ethereum holding strong above 1,900, Gold staying above 4,100, Nasdaq remaining weak, and DXY moving back above 101. Today’s main message is clear: Crypto is recovering. Gold remains strong. But with DXY back above 101 and Nasdaq still weak below 30,000, the market is not in a full risk-on mode yet. BTC, ETH, DXY, Gold, Nasdaq and ETF flows must be watched together today. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📌 MARKET OVERVIEW Today’s picture is mixed, but stronger than previous sessions. • BTC is trying to hold in the 65,700–66,000 zone • ETH remains strong above 1,920 • Gold keeps its positive structure above 4,100 • DXY has moved back above 101 • Nasdaq remains under pressure below 30,000 • U.S. equities opened weak • BTC and ETH ETF flows are positive • The CLARITY Act draft is back in focus for crypto regulation • U.S.–Iran tension and oil risk remain active market risks The main question today: Can BTC and ETH continue the recovery, or will DXY and Nasdaq pressure bring another wave of selling? ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ₿ BITCOIN / BTC Bitcoin is trading around the 65,700–66,000 area after a strong recovery. BTC reached the 66,956 level, but confirmation above that zone is not clear yet. Key BTC levels: Support: 65,500 65,200 64,800 64,000 63,600 Resistance: 66,000 66,500 66,950 / 67,000 68,000 The key level for BTC today: 66,000. If BTC holds above 66,000, the 66,500 and 67,000 zones can be tested again. A daily hold above 67,000 would strengthen the bullish momentum. However, if BTC loses 65,200, short-term profit-taking may deepen toward 64,800 and 64,000. BTC message: Above 65,200, the structure remains positive. Above 66,000, momentum improves. Above 67,000, a new upside zone opens. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ♦️ ETHEREUM / ETH Ethereum continues to look stronger than Bitcoin. ETH is holding around the 1,920–1,930 zone. The 1,956 area was tested earlier, but after that move ETH entered a consolidation phase. Key ETH levels: Support: 1,920 1,900 1,880 1,850 Resistance: 1,950 1,956 1,980 2,000 The most important short-term zone for ETH: 1,900–1,920. As long as ETH holds above 1,900, the trend remains strong. If 1,950 breaks with volume again, 1,980 and 2,000 come back into focus. A move below 1,900 would be the first short-term weakness signal. ETH message: Above 1,900 is positive. Above 1,950 confirms continuation. 2,000 remains the key psychological target. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🥇 GOLD / XAUUSD Gold remains strong. Gold is holding above 4,100 and trading around the 4,118 area. The recent move reached the 4,166 zone, showing that war risk, safe-haven demand and inflation concerns are still being priced. Key Gold levels: Support: 4,100 4,080 4,060 4,020 4,000 Resistance: 4,130 4,166 4,180 4,200 The key level for Gold: 4,100. As long as Gold holds above 4,100, the positive structure remains intact. If strength returns above 4,130, the 4,166 and 4,180 zones may be tested again. If Gold loses 4,100, the 4,080 and 4,060 supports should be watched. Gold message: Above 4,100 remains strong. Above 4,166 opens a new upside zone. 4,000 is now the main psychological support. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💵 DXY / DOLLAR INDEX DXY has moved back above 101 today. This is an important warning signal for the market. DXY reacted from the 100.70–100.80 zone and moved above the 101 level. Key DXY levels: Support: 100.85 100.60 100.35 Resistance: 101.20 101.33 101.60 101.80 As long as DXY stays above 101, pressure risk increases for BTC, ETH, Nasdaq and Gold. Especially closes above 101.20 may be negative for risk assets. DXY message: Above 101 requires caution. Above 101.20, pressure increases. Below 100.60, risk assets can breathe again. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📈 NASDAQ Nasdaq remains the weakest link today. NQ failed to hold above 30,000 and is now trading under pressure around the 29,100 area. Key Nasdaq levels: Support: 29,000 28,900 28,700 28,400 Resistance: 29,300 29,600 29,800 30,000 Without a reclaim of 30,000, strong risk-on confirmation remains missing. This is very important for crypto. BTC and ETH have recently been moving closely with Nasdaq risk appetite. Nasdaq message: 29,000 support is important. 29,300 is the first recovery zone. No strong risk-on confirmation until 30,000 is reclaimed. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 CRYPTO ETF FLOWS According to the shared ETF flow data, spot BTC and ETH ETFs recorded net inflows on July 22. ETF flows: • Bitcoin ETF: around +68.99 / +69.1 million dollars net inflow • Ethereum ETF: around +72.64 / +72.7 million dollars net inflow • Solana ETF: around -1.27 / -1.3 million dollars net outflow • Hyperliquid ETF: 0 million dollars net outflow This is especially important for ETH. In previous sessions, ETH flows were mixed. Today’s strong ETH ETF inflow may be one of the factors supporting ETH above 1,900. BTC ETF inflows also show that institutional demand has not disappeared. ETF message: BTC and ETH ETF inflows are positive. Strong ETH inflows support the structure above 1,900. But DXY and Nasdaq remain critical for price direction. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ CLARITY ACT / CRYPTO REGULATION The CLARITY Act is back in focus in the United States. Senate Republicans released a new draft. Key points in the draft include: • Restrictions on the U.S. President and certain federal officials issuing crypto or digital assets • Restrictions on sponsorship and crypto-related income • Protection of self-custody rights • Developers not being treated as money transmitters • Protection of user assets in exchange bankruptcies • Stablecoin yield rules largely remaining unchanged These are important points for the medium-term crypto market. Clear and practical regulation can be positive for institutional capital. However, short-term political debate can still create volatility. Regulation message: If the CLARITY Act becomes clearer, it can be positive for institutional crypto. But ethics provisions and stablecoin rules remain political risk factors. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏦 MACRO OUTLOOK Today’s macro focus is on the ECB decision and U.S. data flow. In Europe, inflation had previously declined from 3.2% to 2.8%. This is positive for the disinflation story. However, because of energy prices, war risk and oil volatility, the ECB may not deliver a fully dovish tone. On the U.S. side, jobless claims and PMI data will be watched. If the data comes in strong: • Bond yields may rise • DXY may strengthen • Nasdaq may face pressure • BTC and ETH may see short-term selling pressure If the data comes in weak: • DXY may soften • Risk assets may breathe • BTC and ETH may continue the recovery • Gold may react in a mixed way Macro message: Today, crypto charts alone are not enough. DXY, U.S. data, ECB tone and Nasdaq must be watched together. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GEOPOLITICAL RISK / OIL U.S.–Iran tension and war headlines continue to weigh on markets. After Trump’s direct warnings toward Iran, U.S. equities opened weaker. Geopolitical risk can affect the market through oil prices and inflation expectations. If oil rises: • Inflation expectations may increase • The Fed may stay more hawkish • DXY may strengthen • Nasdaq may remain under pressure • BTC and ETH may lose risk appetite • Gold may receive safe-haven demand Today’s key chain to watch: Oil + DXY + U.S. 10Y + Nasdaq + Gold + BTC ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 TODAY’S STRATEGY The market is stronger today, but not risk-free. BTC has recovered. ETH is strong. Gold is above 4,100. ETF flows are positive. But: DXY is back above 101. Nasdaq remains below 30,000. U.S. equities are weak. Geopolitical risk continues. The strategy is clear: No FOMO. No excessive leverage. Do not chase unconfirmed breakouts. Watch BTC holding above 66,000. ETH must stay above 1,900. If DXY moves above 101.20, be careful. Without Nasdaq reclaiming 30,000, risk-on confirmation remains incomplete. Gold is trying to stay strong above 4,100. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ POSITIVE SCENARIO

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Türkçe / Turkish

This is one of today’s most important macro risk areas. Strait of Hormuz risk, U.S.–Iran tension and new CENTCOM strike headlines keep oil in focus. If oil rises: • Inflation expectations may increase • The Fed may stay more cautious • DXY may strengthen again • Nasdaq may remain under pressure • BTC and ETH may lose risk appetite • Gold may receive safe-haven demand Oil message: The 79–80 dollar zone must be watched carefully. Geopolitical headlines can move oil very quickly. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 💰 CRYPTO NEWS FLOW ETF flows are supportive for BTC. July 17 ETF flows: • Bitcoin ETFs: +132.3 million dollars net inflow • Ethereum ETFs: +36.7 million dollars net inflow • Solana ETFs: 0.0 million dollars net outflow • Hyperliquid ETFs: -5.5 million dollars net outflow This is supportive for Bitcoin. The Visa stablecoin platform, T. Rowe Price’s multi-token crypto ETF and Wall Street tokenization developments are also keeping the medium-term crypto infrastructure story alive. But short-term price action is still driven by macro, DXY, Nasdaq, oil and regulation headlines. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ ⚖️ REGULATION / CLARITY ACT CLARITY Act remains one of the key U.S. crypto regulation themes. The bill may be positive for institutional crypto adoption in the medium term. However, ethics provisions, stablecoin rules and crypto-related income by elected officials remain political risk factors. Regulation message: Clearer crypto regulation can be supportive. But political uncertainty can still create short-term volatility. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🏦 FED / MACRO The Fed picture remains cautious. Softer CPI and PPI data gave the market some relief. But Fed members are still not fully comfortable with inflation. Logan kept the possibility of higher rates on the table, while Schmid said the latest inflation data is encouraging but it is too early to place too much weight on one data set. Macro message: The probability of a rate hike has decreased, but the Fed’s inflation concern has not disappeared. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 GEOPOLITICAL RISK U.S.–Iran war risk remains a major market risk. CENTCOM’s report of another consecutive night of strikes against Iran increases weekend risk. Iran’s Strait of Hormuz comments and pressure on oil transit routes are still critical for global markets. This is why today’s market should not be read only through the Bitcoin chart. The key chain to watch: Oil + DXY + U.S. yields + Nasdaq + Gold + BTC ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🎯 TODAY’S STRATEGY Today’s strategy is clear: No FOMO. No excessive leverage. No unconfirmed longs. Stay careful around news flow. Positive scenario: BTC holds above 64,000. ETH settles above 1,850. DXY stays below 101. Gold strengthens above 4,000. Nasdaq recovers toward 29,300 and 30,000. Oil stays calm. Negative scenario: BTC breaks below 63,200. ETH moves toward 1,800. DXY returns above 101. Nasdaq remains below 28,700. Oil rises on geopolitical headlines. Gold loses 4,000 again. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ FINAL MESSAGE The market is entering the weekend cautiously, not strongly. BTC is around 64,000. ETH is near the 1,850 threshold. DXY is below 101 but still alive. Gold has reacted above 4,000. Nasdaq remains weak and is the biggest warning signal for risk appetite. Oil and Strait of Hormuz risk remain on the table. ETF inflows are supportive, but macro pressure continues. Today’s main message: The market still needs confirmation. BTC: 64,000. ETH: 1,850. DXY: 101. Gold: 4,000. Nasdaq: 30,000. Oil: 80 dollar zone. No FOMO. Wait for confirmation. Risk management first. No noise. Just market direction. Not financial advice. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ BK Market Daily Telegram: https://t.me/bkmarketdaily Website: https://crypto.atachain.com YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@BKMarketDaily