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Football is back! It’s been nice to have a break after the World Cup, which went well, finishing 19.64 units in profit for the tournament. Prices held well throughout the tournament, which was unexpected, so hopefully that continues into the new season but won’t be holding my breath. I’ve been thinking about making the group smaller at some stage, but me and the mrs are expecting a child in a few weeks time, so now doesn’t feel like the best time. As I don’t feel like it would be fair, as there will most likely be game weeks where posting bets will be difficult in September but as always will do my best to get bets out to you guys! Hopefully we can start the season where we left off in the summer! Might have some bets for tonight depending on line ups, if not have plenty jotted down for the weekend. As always, I really appreciate the support. FBA
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Olmo has made a foul in 5 of 6 games at the WC and 6/6 with SS with most likely sub being Merino who averages 2.14 fouls per 90 for club and county, plenty to foul in the Argie midfield with Enzo & Mac Allister in what should be a good midfield battle. Enzo averaging 2.16 shots per 90 for club and country going 40242 at the WC so far, expecting Spain to be better than the Argies here but always a chance they have to press on if they go behind and Enzo doesn’t mind a shot from distance if need be. Would expect Argentina to play a lower block than they have this tournament against a Spanish team who are superior with and without the ball so expecting to see Spanish chances Baena averaging 2.81 shots per 90 Spain and will share FK duty with Yamal also good SS options from Torres or Nico Williams. Olmo’s shots at this tournament with SS have gone 13333, like said before expecting Spain to get chances and great SS potential in Merino if needed later in the game. ❌
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Like the angles with the Spanish aerial threat here so will be targeting the two tallest outfield players on the pitch for Spain in Rodri & Laporte against an Argentina team who will start with one outfield player over 6 foot, Argentina were extremely aggressive in the midfield against England would imagine we see similar here which would result in free kicks and plenty of balls into the box. Can’t see Argentina having anywhere near as much possession as they did against England from a Spanish team who are brilliant on and off the ball which should hopefully lead to Spanish pressure resulting in increased corners and more opportunities for the ball to get put into the box. ❌
Few long shots coming then main bets just after
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Looks like some good prices in this game and that England team looks honking so playing a higher line than usual. Doue 2+ shots landed in all his games for France (45+ mins) with SS, plenty of good options off the bench. Spence LB against Olisie who draws 2.41 fouls per 90, Spence has made a foul in 11 of his last 16 could get Nico later in the game also. Rogers has won a foul in 26 of his last 29 matches, chance possible of Bellingham later in the game and neither Rabiot or Emery shy of a foul averaging 2.5 between them per 90. Konate has drawn a foul in 26/32 games, Toney up front for England who makes 1.3 fouls per 90 feel like he might want to prove a point a bit here. Cherki averaging 2.64 shots for club and country, also good SS replacements and just not having that England team at all would imagine this will be one way traffic. ✅
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Should be working fine now 🤞🏻
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