Stacy in Dataland (´⊙~⊙`)
СтатистикаStacy Muur’s alpha channel. 𝕏: https://x.com/stacy_muur Blog: https://stacymuur.substack.com Chat: @muur_talks
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Bitcoin ETFs post second straight day of net outflows; spot BTC hovers near $63.5–64K – Link US spot BTC ETFs saw -$125.4M net outflows on Aug. 13 after -$61.1M on Aug. 12, while ETH ETFs saw modest +$6.5M inflows. BTC and ETH both traded lower on the day, with Glassnode describing Bitcoin as in a "late-stage bear compression phase. Matters because: Continued ETF outflows may pressure short-term price action and show institutional caution despite cooler inflation data.
Daily news snapshot: Altcoins watchlist AEON (AEON): +24.3% • Market cap: ≈$12.9M • AEON, a BNB Chain-based payments/x402 token, posted the largest 24h gain among CEX-trending tokens above the $10M market cap threshold. Catalysts: • No specific news catalyst was identified in available sources. • The move appears driven by trading activity rather than a confirmed announcement. Matters because: The move looks momentum-driven rather than news-led. AVNT (Avantis): +16.7% • Market cap: ≈$35.8M • Avantis, a Base-based perps/DeFi protocol, rose sharply in the past 24h. Catalysts: • No specific catalyst article was found in the last-24h news window. • The gain should be treated as unconfirmed-catalyst price action worth watching. Matters because: The move is still unconfirmed by a clear news trigger. Fabric Protocol (ROBO): +9.2% • Market cap: ≈$31.9M • ROBO (Fabric Protocol) gained on CEX trending lists over the past 24h. Catalysts: • No identifiable news catalyst was found. • The move may reflect broader risk appetite in small/mid-cap DeFi tokens. Matters because: The move appears more like broad market appetite than a specific announcement.
Stacks just published a new STX thesis around Bitcoin Staking. Under the proposed framework, staking BTC would require STX to be committed alongside it, while the BTC stays under the holder’s keys and rewards are paid in BTC. The initial minimum proposed is 5% of the BTC position. So if $100M of BTC entered Bitcoin Staking, at least $5M worth of STX would need to be committed alongside it. The bonding period is expected to last roughly six months, so that STX would remain committed for a meaningful amount of time. The relationship is pretty simple: More BTC entering Bitcoin Staking → more STX committed alongside it.
Andre Cronje says "DeFi no longer exists, only on-chain finance remains" – Link Fantom founder Andre Cronje argued most DeFi protocols have become centralized, company-run entities rather than truly decentralized systems. He cited DefiLlama data showing total DeFi TVL fell from $167B in Oct. 2022 to $75B currently. Matters because: The commentary adds to scrutiny of decentralization claims and could matter for how DeFi protocols are classified by regulators.
US CPI comes in line with forecasts at 3.4%, boosting Fed rate-cut/pause bets – Link US July CPI landed at 3.4% YoY, matching expectations. Treasury yields moved lower, and September Fed rate-pause odds rose to roughly 60%. BTC held near $63–64K instead of rallying sharply, suggesting the print was largely priced in. Matters because: In-line inflation reduces near-term Fed uncertainty and may support risk-asset stability, though BTC’s muted reaction shows this is not a strong standalone bullish catalyst.
Franklin Templeton gets SEC no-action letter for on-chain money fund – Link The SEC's Division of Investment Management issued a no-action letter clearing Franklin Templeton's traditional registered funds to invest in its blockchain-based OnChain U.S. Government Money Fund. Matters because: This points to growing institutional acceptance of tokenized fund structures within existing SEC compliance frameworks and may support broader RWA/tokenized treasury adoption over time.
Bitcoin spot ETFs show mixed/thin flows, price drifts near $63.6K – Link BTC ETF net flows were flat to negative over the past three sessions: $0 on Aug 12, +$7.8M on Aug 11, and -$144.6M on Aug 10. ETH ETFs also saw net outflows of -$1.7M on Aug 11 and -$14.6M on Aug 10. BTC trades around $63,600–64,900 and ETH near $1,860–1,880, both lower on the day. Matters because: Weak or negative ETF flows may indicate fading institutional demand at current levels, which could pressure short-term price recovery attempts.
Listed Bitcoin miners add ≈$1.78B in overlooked sell pressure YTD – Link Blockware Intelligence data shows listed BTC miners' holdings fell from ≈127,000 BTC to ≈99,000 BTC this year, implying roughly 28,000 BTC, or about $1.78B, sold. That adds to over $4.4B in net ETF outflows and treasury-firm selling. Miner profitability remains tight at about $74,300 average cost per BTC. Matters because: This suggests a structural, less-visible supply overhang that could pressure BTC recovery independent of ETF flow headlines.
Fidelity files with SEC to add staking to its Ethereum ETF (FETH) – Link Fidelity proposes adding staking to its ≈$898M spot Ethereum ETF (FETH). It would retain 85% of gross staking rewards for the fund and distribute the remaining 15% to service providers, with net rewards passed to investors via quarterly cash distributions. Matters because: This may support better ETH ETF economics and could incentivize further institutional ETH accumulation if approved, though timing remains uncertain.
SEC and CFTC sue Goliath Ventures over $400M crypto Ponzi scheme – Link Regulators filed civil suits against Goliath Ventures and founder Christopher Delgado, alleging the firm raised at least $425M from 1,300+ investors by promising 3–10% monthly returns from crypto liquidity pools while actually running a Ponzi structure. Combined investor losses are estimated at $250M–$397M. Matters because: It is a reminder that yield-promising, opaque crypto investment schemes remain an active enforcement priority.
Daily news snapshot: Altcoins watchlist 1. EGL1 (EGL1): +112.19% (Bitget listing) • Market cap: ≈$15.5M • EGL1 (EaglesLanding), a BNB Chain meme coin, spiked sharply in Bitget's 24h trending data. Catalysts: • No specific news catalyst was identified in available sources. • This appears to be a low-liquidity, meme-driven speculative move. Matters because: Large 24h swings in this cap range may indicate thin order-book volatility rather than fundamental news, so caution is warranted. 2. Lumia (LUMIA): +25.22% • Market cap: ≈$17.7M • Lumia, an RWA-focused infrastructure token backed by DWF Labs, posted a strong 24h gain per Bitget trending data. Catalysts: • No specific news event was found to confirm the catalyst within the last 24 hours. • The move points to renewed speculative interest in the RWA narrative. Matters because: The move should not be treated as confirmed news-driven. 3. MANTRA (new token, ticker "MANTRA"): +6.99% • Market cap: est. >$10M (CMC rank ≈503; note this is the relaunched "MANTRA" chain token, distinct from the old OM token) • Bitget shows a moderate 24h gain for the newer MANTRA chain token. Catalysts: • No specific catalyst news was identified in the past 24 hours. • The old OM token is a separate, much larger-cap asset and should not be confused with this smaller relaunch token. Matters because: RWA L1 tokens have seen episodic volatility tied to broader RWA-sector sentiment.
Harmony (ONE) suffers exploit — ≈4 billion tokens minted without authorization – Link Harmony confirmed an exploit via an "empty blocks" vulnerability that allowed an attacker to mint ≈4 billion ONE tokens, or ≈26% of total supply. About ≈2.8 billion were routed to exchanges, and ONE fell 26–40% depending on venue and timeframe. Harmony has paused its cross-chain bridge and asked exchanges to freeze four linked wallets. Matters because: Unauthorized inflation events erode token holder confidence and typically trigger sustained selling pressure until remediation is confirmed.
Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETFs post back-to-back daily net outflows – Link US spot BTC ETFs saw a -$42.4M net outflow on Aug. 11 after -$144.6M on Aug. 10. ETH ETFs recorded a smaller -$2.3M outflow after -$14.6M the prior day. Matters because: The reversal in ETF flows suggests near-term demand has softened ahead of CPI, which could weigh on spot prices if it persists.
OCC signals openness to national bank charters for digital asset firms – Link The US Office of the Comptroller of the Currency said it has received 40 new bank charter applications from digital-asset and emerging-tech firms over the past 18 months. Comptroller Jonathan Gould said the agency's prior reluctance to approve new bank charters "has now ended," with decisions on complete applications expected within 120 days. Matters because: It may support broader institutional integration of crypto firms into the traditional banking system if charters are granted.
Coldcard hardware wallet exploit losses climb to 1,432–1,816 BTC (≈$92M–$116M) – Link CryptoQuant confirmed 1,432 BTC in losses tied to a firmware vulnerability in Coldcard hardware wallets, while Galaxy Research and TRM Labs estimate the total could reach 1,730–1,816 BTC drained from over 5,200 addresses across multiple waves since late July. Matters because: The exploit renewed institutional preference for regulated custody over self-custody, and further victim disclosures could push the confirmed loss total higher.
Ravencoin network hit by critical consensus vulnerability, price falls ≈20% – Link Ravencoin disclosed that weak nodes accepted invalid blocks starting at block height 4,487,776, exploiting a critical consensus flaw. Major mining pools 2Miners and RavenMiner are now mining an alternate chain excluding the exploited blocks. Matters because: If the alternate chain becomes dominant, roughly three days of transaction history could be reorganized, and the official team has recommended exchanges pause deposits and withdrawals.