CosmoQuant Analytics Lab

The Jul 25–30 recovery window remains valid, supported by Jupiter emerging from combustion, the180° Gann time count from the January low, and the 89-day Fibonacci cycle from the Apr 2 low. This is expected to give recovery into the end of July till 24007 and max 24400 However, from Jul 28 onward, a much stronger bearish cluster begins to dominate, with multiple independent timing models converging: Mars–Saturn Conflict Node (28 Jul–24 Aug): Historically associated with elevated stress, trend reversals and distribution. Mars–Saturn Peak Collision (29 Jul–4 Aug): The highest-risk period within the larger window. Sarvato Bhadra Chakra: Direct Vama Vedha on Ardra Nakshatra, increasing the probability of sudden volatility, panic selling and gap moves. Eclipse build-up: Solar and Lunar eclipse energy starts influencing market psychology well before the actual eclipse dates. Gann Time Cycles: Multiple important time counts converge during the same period, strengthening the probability of a major directional move. When Vedic astrology, Sarvato Bhadra Chakra, Gann timing and Fibonacci time cycles all point to the same window, I pay attention. My view is straightforward: Jul 25–30: Recovery can continue. From Jul 28: Start reducing long exposure. Jul 29–Aug 4: Highest probability window for a sharp downside move. Until Aug 24: I remain cautious and will prefer selling rallies over chasing breakouts. As always, this is a time-based probability model, not a certainty. Price confirmation and risk management take priority over any single method.

If nifty had come to 23860-885, I would have shorted again with 24007 as SL. But now from this level shorting is not adviced. Because the CE wall shifted from 23800 to 24000. IV at ATM is low with high gamma. There is 1% chance of nifty surviving on upside beyond 24000 with such low IV. GEX is negative means, the dealers will amplify the fall with shorting further futures on a falling market. Overall negative with a possibility of not going beyond 24007. Hence carrying a small qty of 23800PE initiated at 99 today. Let's see.

Put my neck out and kept singing bearish song since 16th July. Booked really good profit! Data indicated bewrishness throughout and Astro gave the confidence.

*The opening move validated the positioning.* The options chain suggested writers had shifted supply higher before the open, and that's exactly how the session has unfolded. Despite the rally, *ATM IV has dropped from 21 to 18* and the *ATM straddle continues to decay*, showing volatility is being sold into the move. *ATM gamma remains elevated*, keeping price action relatively controlled. *PCR has recovered to 1*, but cumulative *call OI still exceeds put OI*, indicating the supply hasn't disappeared—it has simply shifted higher. *The highest-probability outcome now is a controlled grind higher or a sideways expiry with option premium continuing to decay, rather than a sharp directional move.*

A quiet tick hiding a loud shift in positioning Nifty held 24,000 for a second straight session, giving the impression of a quiet market. But beneath the surface, positioning changed meaningfully. Prop traders reduced upside exposure, FIIs stayed defensive, and retail continued chasing calls while selling downside protection. When informed money turns cautious as the crowd grows more optimistic, it's usually a sign to stay disciplined. The message is simple: respect the 24,000 demand, avoid chasing rallies, and keep protection in place until the next directional move becomes clearer. I am still going with my astro view of negative from 16th till 24th.

My market outlook for the coming two weeks is bearish. This view is based on the convergence of multiple independent factors rather than a single indicator. 13 July marks the Sun–Mercury Cazimi, which I expect to act as the trigger point. Historically, such alignments often coincide with sharp volatility and important market turning points. From 16 July to 24 July, several major Astro and Gann cycles converge: Jupiter enters combustion. A significant Gann 90° time relationship from the April high is completed. The 196–197 day Gann time window aligns during the same period. The New Moon occurs within this broader timing cluster. My derivatives analysis also supports the bearish case. ATM implied volatility remains near single-digit levels despite the recent rally, while gamma is elevated. I expect implied volatility to expand from these compressed levels, which historically has been associated with increased downside pressure rather than a continuation of a low-volatility advance. The recent upside has not been supported by meaningful additions in futures open interest. Instead, it appears to be driven largely by short covering rather than fresh long accumulation. Without aggressive long participation, I remain sceptical about the sustainability of the rally. Banking stocks are also beginning to weaken, reducing the probability of a broad-based index breakout. Putting all these factors together—Astro timing, Gann cycles, options positioning, futures data and sectoral weakness—I remain bearish on the market. My expectation is that 13 July acts as the trigger, with 16–24 July becoming the primary downside window. Unless market structure changes materially, I will continue to view rallies as opportunities to reduce long exposure rather than initiate fresh longs. As always, this is my market interpretation based on my research methodology and is shared for educational purposes, not as investment advice.

Banknifty closed above 57945 with bullish momentum. Nifty is still below 24160 and no momentum. Expecting banknifty to outperform for few days. Astro favours from July 4th as well. Let's see.

https://x.com/i/status/2071908512352051600

Venus-Jupiter conjunction with venus trailing Jupiter is bullish from 10th to 12th followed by bullish window with Mercury between Sun and Venus inside Gann's Vibrant 72°-90° zone. Expecting bullish move from 10th -18th

**Nifty - Gann + Astro* Nifty formed a significant low at 22,182.55 on April 2, 2026. Using Gann's Square of 9, the square root of this low is 148.94. Each full rotation adds 2.0 to this value. Two levels have been independently verified by market action. The June 8 pullback low of 23,070 resting within 16 points of the 1.5 rotation level (23,086), and the April 21 high of 24,601 sitting within 29 points of the 4.0 rotation level (24,630). This gives the Sq9 map credibility. The June 13 close of 23,622 represents a breakout above the 2.0 rotation base of 23,390, a level the market failed four consecutive times before this session. The 2.0 rotation level now flips to demand zone. Immediate supply is 23,698 (2.5 rotation). Beyond that, major upside levels are 24,007 (3.0), 24,317 (3.5), and 24,630 (4.0 - April 21 high). On the downside, key demand area sit at 23,390 (2.0), 23,086 (1.5 — June 8 low), and 22,783 (1.0). Gann Time: Squaring the current leg range (√553 = 23.5 calendar days from June 8) projects time exhaustion around July 1–2. This confluences independently with Calendar day 90 from the April 2 yearly low, one quarter of Gann's 360-day annual cycle. July 1 is the highest confidence Gann date in the near term. Astro Picture: Jupiter Vargottama - the primary bullish driver ends June 18. Venus leading Jupiter from June 12 is a negative signal currently overridden by Vargottama strength. Jupiter trine Neptune (Jun 17–18) and Jupiter entering Pushya (Jun 18) offer partial offset but net to neutral against the Venus negative. New moon in Mrigashira on June 19 adds volatility without directional clarity. Bearish planetary environment begins June 19 with no defined end date. Gann-Astro Confluence Interpretation: The bullish window is next trading sessions, June 15 16, 17, and 18. After that, planetary support withdraws while Gann level 23,698 remains uncleared. If Nifty closes above 23,698 by June 18, the level flips to demand zone and the path to 24,007 stays open regardless of planetary deterioration. If it does not, the June 13 breakout becomes a failed attempt and the market likely revisits 23,390 and 23,086 before July 1 stabilises price. Watch one thing only: Nifty's closing price on June 18.

Venus-Jupiter conjunction with venus trailing Jupiter is bullish from 10th to 12th followed by bullish window with Mercury between Sun and Venus inside Gann's Vibrant 72°-90° zone. Expecting bullish move from 10th -18th

Some beautiful intraday trades with positional banknifty futures long from 2nd June and Nifty from yesterday.