Crypto VIP Signal

Glassnode: Consumer Confidence Falls as AI Stocks Surge, Leaving Bitcoin Behind 👉 Investors are showing stronger confidence in AI-related equities, while Bitcoin has struggled to attract the same level of enthusiasm. This divergence highlights a shift in risk appetite, with capital increasingly flowing toward traditional technology and AI assets rather than crypto. Bitcoin will need stronger demand and improving sentiment to close this performance gap. 📊

ZK analysis: Price is breaking out of the falling wedge pattern upward. We will open a long position after confirmation. We expect a significant upward move once the breakout is confirmed. Key Level to Hold: $0.007700

Bitcoin started the week with a strong green candle. I expect this upward movement to continue when the US market opens.

Bitcoin options markets are becoming less defensive. The 25-Delta Skew has fallen sharply across multiple maturities, with the 1-week skew near 5%. 👉 This suggests lower demand for downside protection and a reduction in bearish hedging. While it doesn't guarantee a price rally, the options market is showing less fear and improving sentiment. 📈

Bitcoin continues its sideways movement as expected due to the weekend. There is nothing new in the market, and we can expect the same for the next couple of days.

Bitcoin is underperforming traditional markets, with the S&P 500 gaining around 5% over 90 days while BTC has fallen roughly 20%. 👉 The same trend has appeared over the past week, showing that the market remains equity-led. BTC needs to regain strength relative to major indices for the broader crypto outlook to improve. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ is lagging other major indices, suggesting a less favorable environment for tech-heavy and high-growth assets. 📊

GRAM analysis: Price broke the falling wedge pattern. This is bullish sign and you can open long positions here. We may see a good upward rally in coming days.

Bitcoin rejected from the resistance area and facing some slow downward movement. Weekend is approaching and expect the sideways movement for next couple of days.

Sellers are getting exhausted, but have not reached levels we saw in past $BTC bear markets. According to the Seller Exhaustion Constant (30d), the historical bottoming signature has not confirmed yet. We continue to monitor for selling to stall further.

Ethereum’s Binance-level NUPL has fallen to around −0.35, a zone historically associated with major ETH market bottoms, including 2019–20, 2022, 2025, and the latest drawdown. This signals significant unrealized losses among ETH held on Binance, suggesting that weaker holders may already be capitulating. As loss-driven selling matures, downside pressure can weaken and create conditions for stabilization. However, the signal is not yet confirmed. A recovery above −0.35 while ETH holds its recent low would strengthen the bottoming case. Further NUPL deterioration alongside new price lows would suggest capitulation is still incomplete.

Buy some MUBARAK around $0.020 level. BNB meme coins are pumping and it could be the next one.

🔥 Hedge funds on the CME have flipped net long on Bitcoin futures, marking a rare shift after maintaining predominantly short positioning for years, according to CryptoQuant CEO. 👉 This could signal improving institutional sentiment toward BTC, as major traders are becoming more comfortable positioning for upside. 📈 The key now is whether this shift is sustained and confirmed by spot demand.

🚨 Strategy has sold 1,690 BTC for approximately $108.6 million at an average price of $64,262 per BTC, according to the latest 8-K filing. This marks one of the company's more notable Bitcoin sales in recent years after its long-running accumulation strategy. 👉 The move is worth watching closely, as a major corporate holder reducing its BTC position could add short-term selling pressure and influence market sentiment. 📉 The key question now is whether this is a one-off liquidity move or the beginning of a broader change in Strategy's Bitcoin strategy.

PUMP continues its upward rally, with the long position yielding over 104% profit from our entry. We have advised multiple times to add more during dips, and it is pumping now. The next resistance is in the $0.03300-$0.03400 range.

Bitcoin is currently testing the resistance area; let's see how it reacts. A breakout above the resistance area will continue the upward trend. A close above $66,000 will confirm this breakout.

Bitcoin is experiencing its longest capitulation phase since the FTX collapse in 2022, according to Glassnode. 👉 Heavy selling and investor losses suggest the market is going through a major de-risking period. Historically, extended capitulation can eventually create the conditions for a stronger recovery, but confirmation of a bottom is still needed. 📉

TREE analysis: The price is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern and is approaching a breakout. A falling wedge is a bullish formation that typically breaks out in the upward direction. We will consider opening long positions once the price moves above the $0.038 level. Be sure to monitor the breakout closely.

Bitcoin has been rejected again from the resistance area and is unable to break above it. The weekend is here, and the volume is low. We may see a continuation of sideways movement until global markets open.

BTC options are now pricing a modest volatility premium, with implied volatility around 10% above realized volatility. 👉 After weeks of realized volatility staying higher, traders are now paying more for uncertainty again. However, the premium remains well below stressed levels, suggesting the options market is cautious but not fearful. 📊

Bitcoin network activity surged after the Coldcard firmware exploit, with active addresses rising to 0.98 million per day, the highest level since December 2024. 👉 This spike reflects fear-driven on-chain activity, as users moved funds and migrated wallets to improve security. The increase is an operational security response, not a sign of changing market sentiment or investor conviction. 🔒₿