🐳 WhalePool Traders Journal

#MarketMind TRADING DAY Price pressures keep coolin' | Reuters July 15 (Reuters) - U.S. bond yields fell on Wednesday after another snapshot of U.S. inflation in June came in softer than expected, easing pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates, while strong profits and potential M&A activity also supported stocks. In my column today, I look ​at why Fed Chair Kevin Warsh can't afford to get complacent on inflation, despite the downside surprises in June's CPI ‌data... Today's Talking Points * China crisis? The latest ​official economic data from China shows why Beijing is putting such reliance on exports. Domestic investment and lending in June fell well short of expectations, suggesting the country's deleveraging is far from over. Q2 GDP was a big miss — growth slowed to 4.3% from 5.0%, the slowest pace in more than three years. Were it not ​for strong exports, especially chips and autos, the broader growth outlook would be even bleaker. Should Beijing be doing more to fire up domestic ​demand, like slashing interest rates or launching large-scale fiscal stimulus? If the economic malaise continues, it may have to. * U.S. banks in fine fettle Most of the big ‌U.S. ⁠banks have reported Q2 earnings, and it's safe to say Wall Street is in rude health. Combined net income from five banks — JPMorgan, Goldman, Citi, BofA and Morgan Stanley — topped $50 billion in the April-June period, driven by strong trading, IPO underwriting and dealmaking. The big asset managers are in good shape too, with BlackRock's AUM surging to a record $15 trillion. Little wonder U.S. financials are ripping higher, now up 20% from the March low to a fresh record high on ​Wednesday. * TICking the box Foreigners can't stay away from U.S. stocks and bonds. ⁠The latest U.S. Treasury International Capital (TIC) flows data show net foreign purchases of U.S. assets in May totaled $232.7 billion, more than double April's figure and the third-highest month on record. About half of that flowed into ​equities, and once again, private sector investors accounted for almost all overseas demand for U.S. assets. Tech ​sector tremors wobbled Wall ⁠Street in June, so it will be interesting to see if that affected foreign demand. On the whole, though, nobody wants to be missing out on the U.S. AI-driven rally. What could move markets tomorrow? TSMC earnings (Q2) South Korea interest rate decision U.S. Philly Fed business index (July) U.S. Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak include Dallas ⁠Fed President ​Lorie Logan, Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, and Vice Chair Philip Jefferson U.S. earnings https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/global-markets-trading-day-graphic-2026-07-15/

без подписи

Former PHV driver-turned-vending machine boss now broke; investors worry about their $4m https://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/courts-crime/former-phv-driver-turned-vending-machine-boss-now-broke-investors-worry-about-their-4m

#Bloomberg At the 2026 World Artificial Intelligence Conference China's Moonshot AI unveiled its Kimi K3 model, intensifying concerns that Chinese developers are rapidly narrowing the AI gap with US rivals while offering lower cost. Bloomberg News China Correspondent Minmin Low and Bloomberg News Technology and Strategic Industries Senior Editor Mike Shepard join Bloomberg This Weekend and discuss how more open models are forcing investors to reassess massive spending on AI infrastructure https://youtu.be/8v5T7Gk0_b8?is=Ku7SPLelAKn5-Zl2

How Singapore investors are using brokerage AI tools to analyse portfolios, gain insights More Singapore users at Moomoo, Tiger Brokers and Longbridge are tapping artificial intelligence to help them interpret market swings, uncover investment opportunities and make more informed trading decisions. Such brokerage firms offer AI-powered features ranging from in-app assistants to integrations with external AI services such as ChatGPT and Claude, helping investors digest news and headlines, analyse earnings data and gain insights into their portfolios. Tiger Brokers has seen a growing number of users turn to its AI tools, such as TigerAI. https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/capital-markets-currencies/how-singapore-investors-are-using-brokerage-ai-tools-analyse-portfolios-gain-insights

#XiaoLin Navigating the interwoven America AI capital spending landscape https://youtu.be/OcKl98ZQbMQ?is=Q90tSm_Z8gQq6Agm

#Kelvin Last week, Broadcom's guidance disappointed Wall Street — and within hours, the AI chip trade triggered a selloff that wiped over $1 trillion from semiconductor stocks alone. Marvell fell 16%, Micron 13%, Nvidia 6%. And the Nasdaq had its worst single day since April 2025. In this video, I break down what actually caused this, then go through both the bear case and the bull case with the data, so you can decide what to do with your own portfolio. Timestamps: 00:00​ — Introduction 00:42​ — What caused this 02:50​ — Bear case 04:15​ — IBKR shoutout 04:48​ — Bear case (continued) 07:32​ — Bull thesis None of this is meant to be construed as investment advice. It's for information purposes only. Links above include affiliate commission or referrals. I'm part of an affiliate network and I receive compensation from partnering websites. #personalfinance​ #singapore​ #investing​ #money​ #stockmarket​ #crash​ #SP500​ #AIcrash​ #AIbubble​ #bearmarket​ #bullmarket​ #Nvidia​ #semiconductor​ #2026​ #marketcrash​ https://youtu.be/vp6oiKRVNvE?is=mLDbgEMSLkBJpBa7

#Earnings live updates: Snap stock surges as World Cup ads boost revenue, Whirlpool falls Earnings continue to be the market's engine, and a series of results this week from Palantir (PLTR), SpaceX (SPCX), and AMD (AMD) could rev up stocks again. In addition to Palantir's report on Monday, Snap (SNAP), Tyson (TSN), Marriott (MAR), and ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) also reported. Later in the week, investors are gearing up for SpaceX's (SPCX) first quarterly report as a public company, as well as results from AMD, Caterpillar (CAT), McDonald's (MCD), Eli Lilly (LLY), and Novo Nordisk (NVO), among others. https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/live/earnings-live-updates-130425228.html

без подписи

#WeekAhead by Reuters, Investopedia & Yahoo Finance #Chart of the Day by Yahoo Finance #Earnings by Earnings Whisper #USMarketUpdate by Reuters, CNBC and Yahoo Finance #TradingDay #MarketMind by Reuters #MarketsWrap by Bloomberg #SgMarketUpdate by Business Times #HKMarketUpdate by Reuters and Trading Economics

без подписи

без подписи

Money managers chase US$577 billion historic German pension shift https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/wealth/money-managers-chase-us577-billion-historic-german-pension-shift

#USMarketUpdate S&P 500 rises after tame inflation data; AI-related shares jump: Live updates https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/11/stock-market-today-live-updates.html?__source=androidappshare

без подписи

#Soloway Oil ripped through the $90 barrel level as Middle East escalation intensified — and the moment it did, the futures rolled over. Add the lowest jobless claims in years, the 10-Year Yield breaking above 4.7%, the dollar screaming higher, and the dollar-yen at 40-year highs, and the risk picture is stacking up fast. Then there's earnings: Tesla and Alphabet both getting crushed after turning cash-flow negative on soaring AI CapEx. On today's Trading Game Plan, Gareth Soloway maps oil's next Fibonacci target, the swing-trade level on Tesla, and why the dollar-yen is the risk nobody's watching. 📐 TODAY'S GAME PLAN 🔴 US OIL — Blows through the $87–$88 resistance to $91.50 as escalation intensifies. Next Fib target is the 50% retrace near $93.40. Gareth is adding to his short into strength, playing the retrace off the highs. 🔴 SPY / ES FUTURES — Down about 1% as oil above $90 flips the tape. Still inside the bullish-consolidation wedge; a breakout favors upside, but a failed breakout is where things get wild. 🔴 TSLA — Misses earnings, turns cash-flow negative, and gaps below the major trend line. Day-trade level near $337; the parallel channel points to a swing-trade target around $290 within a month. 🔴 GOOGL — Fantastic earnings undone by cash-flow-negative status and CapEx headed past $200B. Now over 20% off its May highs. Day-trade level just below $320 at the gap fill and ascending trend line. 🔴 GOLD / SILVER — Slammed as the dollar rips. Gold down about 2% off the wedge's upper band; silver gives back roughly half its four-day run. Gareth still watching the $54 level on silver. 🔵 10-YR YIELD / DXY / USD-JPY — Yields soar above 4.7% on strong data and rising oil; dollar tests resistance near 101.80; dollar-yen at levels unseen since 1986 — the carry-trade intervention risk that shocked markets in August 2024. 🔵 TXN / NOW / IBM — Texas Instruments testing a key trend line, ServiceNow's bounce too weak to trade, and IBM's $195–$197 pivot zone on watch. 🟢 RTX / LMT — Defense names bid higher on earnings amid military spending. Resistance near $551 on Lockheed and a double top near $215 on Raytheon. 🟢 NATGAS — Catching a bid; data-center demand could put $5 in play within a year. 🔵 BITCOIN — Pulling back after kissing the key pivot. A break there targets the inverse head-and-shoulders objective. 🔑 KEY TAKEAWAY: One catalyst can flip the whole tape. The market was neutral overnight until oil cracked $90 — proof that watching the right macro lever matters more than any single stock. Trade the levels, not the panic. ⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated) 00:00​ Oil Breaks $90 — The Whole Tape Rolls Over 03:00​ Jobless Claims, Yields, and the Rate-Hike Risk 06:00​ US Oil: The $93.40 Fibonacci Target 09:00​ Dollar and the 1986-High Dollar-Yen Risk 12:00​ S&P Daily: The Make-or-Break Wedge 14:00​ Tesla: Trend Line Breaks, $290 Swing Target 19:00​ Alphabet: Great Earnings, Cash-Flow Problem 22:30​ TXN, ServiceNow, and IBM Levels 25:00​ Defense Bid: RTX and Lockheed Martin 27:00​ Gold and Silver Slammed as Dollar Rips 29:30​ Natural Gas and Bitcoin 31:30​ Wrap-Up #StockMarket​ #Trading​ #TechnicalAnalysis​ #Oil​ #Tesla​ #Alphabet​ #Gold​ #Silver​ #Bitcoin​ #Earnings​ #Yields​ #DayTrading​ #Investing​ https://www.youtube.com/live/Z5bPRuEwpn8?is=t_-C0tQviie53vXl

Why Apple's WWDC and Siri AI failed to inspire investors https://finance.yahoo.com/sectors/technology/article/why-apples-wwdc-and-siri-ai-hype-left-investors-sad-113633979.html #Bloomberg https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSQBrHy8R/

без подписи

#WeekAhead by Investopedia, Yahoo Finance and Reuters #Calendar by Investing.com #Earnings by Earnings Whisper #USMarketUpdate by Reuters, Investopedia, CNBC and Yahoo Finance #TradingDay #MarketMind by Reuters #MarketsWrap by Bloomberg #SgMarketUpdate by Business Times #HKMarketUpdate by Reuters and Trading Economics

Apple is suing OpenAI over alleged trade secret theft https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/article/apple-is-suing-openai-over-alleged-trade-secret-theft-213609180.html #Bloomberg https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSXR11Y3R/ #QuarterChart https://vt.tiktok.com/ZSXN8uxXX/